Supposing that the Alliance do push Löfven out (although I suppose that is getting less likely by the day) - would the Moderates still be expected to lead the coalition?
Surely Annie Löof wouldn't be too happy at being a junior coalition partner to a party the Centre are currently polling ahead of? And wouldn't Centre be worried about losing support if they did go into being a junior government partner?
I haven't seen any polls with C ahead of M.
My mistake, got carried away with recent polling movements...
But the question is still relevant I think - M are clearly no longer the dominant party within the alliance; and would stuggle to convince C that they should naturally lead a coalition