What's the Chance (user search)
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Author Topic: What's the Chance  (Read 733 times)
bobloblaw
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« on: July 02, 2015, 11:51:38 AM »
Quote from: Free Bird on July 02, 2015, 03:23:48 AM
That 2016 produces the same map as 2000? Bush is well-liked in New Hampshire, and his appeals to minorities might just make him competitive in Nevada.

Bush is well liked in NH?Huh He is polling at under 20% in the GOP primary.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2015, 11:53:31 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on July 02, 2015, 10:16:53 AM
Quote from: Free Bird on July 02, 2015, 03:28:30 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on July 02, 2015, 03:25:28 AM
1%. If that. Virginia going Republican while states like Iowa going Democratic seems unlikely now.

You're suggesting they're drifting in opposite directions? How dare you! Opinion on Atlas dictates that Iowa will be as reliably Democratic as it always was!

Iowa always seems to have a slight Democratic lean to it, but the problem is Virginia has drifted leftward to the point that they're in the same arena. Soon Virginia might be more Democratic than Iowa.

Iowa votes with the national popular vote. Obama did about 1 point better in IA than nationally, maybe due to being a neighbor.
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