Assuming Trump is the Nominee...Which States Would Gary Johnson Win? Predictions

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Divide all your Johnson percentages by a factor of 5 and you have something resembling a realistic ceiling for him.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Now, please, never ask this question again so I don't have to make another post this freaking depressing.

The LP seriously missed its moment here.  Had they settled on a major celebrity candidate with huge likability and social media savvy, they could be sweeping up the Bernie defectors (I know it makes no logical sense, but Bernie bros don't) as well as disaffected independents.

Louis C.K.?  Is he a Libertarian?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

A Libertarian candidate needs to do what Trump did: get free advertisement from the media for being a celebrity.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

You're joking, right?

No, it's perfectly plausible that a candidate who is arguably more socially liberal than any Democratic nominee in history could split the right-wing vote in MS, thus allowing Hillary to win the state.

+Blacks

If a minority is VP, MS is Safe D if Hillary is the nominee.

There's still LOTS of time to pass some new voter ID laws.