how far away are we from (user search)
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  how far away are we from (search mode)
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Author Topic: how far away are we from  (Read 1657 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: July 02, 2022, 11:07:49 AM »

Didn't the EC have a D bias for some time?

Things will change and GA, SC, and TX will get bluer with time. I think the Rust Belt will probably stay swingy but could get bluer as non-white populations grow assuming the GOP doesn't make huge gains w/ those groups.

That was basically just in 2012, because Obama just had to keep a few swing states. Indeed, all the Kerry states plus VA, NM and CO, which were already D-trending, was already enough to win reelection. This is why Romney always had a narrow path to 270, and on election night before CA came in, it looked like the NPV might be close to a tie. Of course, Obama won by 5 million in the end nearly 4 pts.
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