Newt Gingrich: Analysis

[#CriminalizeSobriety]

Here's my take: Gingrich's candidacy or potential candidacy can go three ways

1) He seems like he is SOOO close to running, to the point where he is visiting voters in different states. He gets a lot of media coverage. But, at the last possible minute, he announces he won't run for Prez. He writes another book. Maybe 2016?

2) He runs, and he's in it to win it. He enjoys every minute of the coverage.

3) He "test runs" and vies for vice presidency.

Which one do you think is most likely?

#1 is most likely.

#3 is not at all likely.

[#CriminalizeSobriety]

Gingrich isn't going to run. He played these same games before 2008. He is an attention whore but knows he isn't electable.

he knew 2008 was a lost cause. Why go for a year you know you WILL lose?

He knows he will lose in 2012 too. Newt can't win a primary in any state and will lose to Obama under almost any circumstances.

put the two next to eachother in a debate and I can promise Newt will sweep the floor. His affairs are another subject to the campaign...

Newt Ginrich would end up like Fred Thompson in 2008. He has his hardcore fans but it won't get him anywhere. He also doesn't fill any particularly unique niche, which means that it will be hard to consolidate a base against well-funded and well-known opponents like Mitt Romney.

Fred didn't try AT ALL. Newt has been for the past decade going around all over for this

Fred just had his name on the ballot during the campaign, until someone finally woke him up for South Carolina, so he could throw it to McCain.