I think both you and Antonio are underestimating me in the South. I'm pro-life, pro-gun, and have a Southern accent. I'd take VA, NC, AR, WV, GA, and KY possibly, maybe even TN(remember Clinton won that twice, despite being anti-gun and pro-choice).
As for you two, I'd say you beat Antonio V in a map similar to 04. It's just hard to know because he's French so I can't get a feel for what region he'd be from if he were in the U.S. and what his perspective would be. If he were to run as a Frenchman, let's say if the Constitution were changed, I'd probably vote for him.