George Santos is running in NY-01 (4/23: he gives up)

[Greedo punched first]

Will LaLota win the primary?

[Progressive Pessimist]

Will LaLota win the primary?

The only reason he hasn't dropped out already is because he doesn't want Santos to get more than 99% of the vote. Otherwise, he's resigned to his fate

[Joe Republic]

I thought he'd be enjoying his retirement after becoming the longest serving and most beloved congressman in US history.  But given that he voluntarily stepped down at the height of his popularity in order to magnanimously allow his predecessor Tom Suozzi to represent the district once again for a little while, I suppose it makes sense to give the citizens of another district the opportunity to be graced with his service instead.

[Independents for Nihilism]

Watch Santos actualy win... but then promptly get impeached again and have the seat go to the Dems in the ensuing special election.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I guess he got this idea from Lauren Boebert.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

Imagine he splits the vote enough for the Dem to win.

[The Mikado]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

Imagine he splits the vote enough for the Dem to win.

I mean, while that'd be hilarious I really struggle to imagine people voting for George Santos (I-NY).

[Kung Fu Kenny]

Obviously he figured out that he wouldn't win the primary so he's doing this for attention lmao

[Liminal Trans Girl]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

The Queen has clearly decided that the Republicans are too lowly for him

[President Johnson]

"Lie and swindle"... it's always projection.

[Progressive Pessimist]

He is pure entertainment.

[oldtimer]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

Imagine he splits the vote enough for the Dem to win.

Not a chance, Santos's base is in NY-04 for decades.

It never made sense for him to run in another seat, even in a primary.

[Malarkey Decider]

I absolutely could see him getting like ~10% of the Republican vote and causing them to lose the election.

Likely R -> Tossup

[Steve from Lambeth]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

Is George Santos upset that the bill to repeal the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund passed the House? That's the only thing of note to have happened in the chamber today.

[Storr]

"Scandal-plagued former Rep. George Santos dropped his independent bid on Tuesday for an eastern Long Island House seat.

Santos, who faces multiple felony charges, wrote on X that he did not want to potentially divide the Republican vote for first-term GOP Rep. Nick LaLota and help the eventual Democratic nominee in the 1st congressional district.

“Although Nick and I don’t have the same voting record and I remain critical of his abysmal record, I don’t want to split the ticket and be responsible for handing the house to Dems,” Santos wrote in the post.

LaLota responded: “Chat GPT translation: He’s taking a plea deal.”"

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/23/george-santos-drops-independent-house-bid-00153958

[Antonio the Sixth]

Aww, sad.

[Smash255]

https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1771240487418057059

Is George Santos upset that the bill to repeal the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund passed the House? That's the only thing of note to have happened in the chamber today.

FWIW, Santos was upset over the passing of the Spending bill that averted a Shutdown which passed the same day

[The Mikado]

So where do we have NY-01? Lean R? Likely R? One or the other of those, presumably.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

So where do we have NY-01? Lean R? Likely R? One or the other of those, presumably.

Likely R, Trump won this seat in 2020. It seems pretty likely Trump will improve in NY, especially Long Island + LaLota will probably outrun Trump.

[Oryxslayer]

So where do we have NY-01? Lean R? Likely R? One or the other of those, presumably.

Likely R, Trump won this seat in 2020. It seems pretty likely Trump will improve in NY, especially Long Island + LaLota will probably outrun Trump.

On the Lean R side of the argument though there's the fact that CNN's John Avion is running for the Dems. He's got the national name rec, is a "moderate no labels hero" whatever that is worth when it comes to ideological attacks, and is already pulling in the big bucks from the donors who like those two prior things. It already smells like a 'feast or famine' situation if he gets the nom: someone's going to outperform substantially, nothing in between.