I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,949
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70
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« on: November 28, 2018, 01:36:27 PM » |
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Day before the election, I noticed that Change Research accurately predicted Baria's and Espy's percentage on November 6, but not the GOP's, so I figured if that same pattern held, that Espy would get 46%, but that Hyde-Smith would get the remaining 3%, leading to her getting 54%.
and it seems like that's what the final result is going to be. Should have bet on that instead of trying to extrapolate from election day results (on predictit, the winning bet is either going to be the 6-8% bracket or the 8-10% bracket; I originally bet 12-14%).
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