Trump could win Ohio by 20 points if he runs in 2020
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  Trump could win Ohio by 20 points if he runs in 2020
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Author Topic: Trump could win Ohio by 20 points if he runs in 2020  (Read 2358 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #25 on: November 22, 2020, 06:11:54 PM »

Brown isn't the underdog with Biden on the ballot, Trump won OH in 2020 so easily and FL due to no Senate race on ballots
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #26 on: November 22, 2020, 06:23:59 PM »

I could see rural and suburban areas going heavy Republican if trump manages to be successful for working class votes, which would provide him another solid win, but definitely not +20 points.

I called Lorain and Mahoning, just saying it now. The irony is that Trump wasn't even successful during his presidency.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #27 on: November 22, 2020, 07:15:25 PM »

I could see rural and suburban areas going heavy Republican if trump manages to be successful for working class votes, which would provide him another solid win, but definitely not +20 points.

I called Lorain and Mahoning, just saying it now. The irony is that Trump wasn't even successful during his presidency.

You were very wrong about suburban areas going heavy Republican in general though, even in Ohio. Delaware County had a huge swing left for example.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #28 on: November 22, 2020, 07:23:09 PM »

No, Cleveland, Columbus, and Cincinnati metro areas have large demographics that don't like Trump so he would need to be winning or close in those areas to achieve this and won't happen.  He is pretty closed to maxed out elsewhere.  Maybe a few points to gain possible, but not much.  Now maybe a more moderate one could if they could hold Trump's gains in blue collar communities while win back suburbs and have stronger second place showings in urban areas. 
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #29 on: November 22, 2020, 07:50:41 PM »

I could see rural and suburban areas going heavy Republican if trump manages to be successful for working class votes, which would provide him another solid win, but definitely not +20 points.

I called Lorain and Mahoning, just saying it now. The irony is that Trump wasn't even successful during his presidency.

You were very wrong about suburban areas going heavy Republican in general though, even in Ohio. Delaware County had a huge swing left for example.

That's true, I should have specified white working class.  Macomb, MI is another example
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