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Author Topic: German Elections & Politics  (Read 668765 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #25 on: March 13, 2016, 02:46:41 PM »
Quote from: Donnie on March 13, 2016, 12:15:34 PM
According to this results i see the CDU/CSU at ca. 30%
nationwide.

German federal elections are most definitely not applied state elections so you can't really do that.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #26 on: March 13, 2016, 07:31:06 PM »
Quote from: DavidB. on March 13, 2016, 05:18:23 PM
Besides, given the result in BaWü one could hardly say the Green surge did not last there...

But only in terms of state politics. There was no federal spillover, which was part of his point.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #27 on: March 13, 2016, 07:34:33 PM »
Quote from: Famous Mortimer on March 13, 2016, 06:48:31 PM
Two grand coalitions replace two Red-Green governments. A Red-Green government becomes a Black-Red-Green government. This was actually not that horrible of a night for Merkel.

I think that the CDU losing state elections in two historic (and federally still) CDU strongholds is pretty horrible for the CDU leader. And that the RP SPD are still winning after more than two decades now is a pretty clear indicator that it can't be assumed that things will snap back into place in BaWü in the medium term.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #28 on: March 14, 2016, 09:36:03 AM »
I thought this was so, and its nice to see my memory is good: just checked and Pforzheim was the best constituency for the AfD in all of former West Germany at the last federal election.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #29 on: March 15, 2016, 07:01:24 PM »
There are some profoundly stupid people in senior posts within the SPD (alas) but even they would not be stupid enough to agree to that (in the impossible event it were proposed).
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #30 on: March 15, 2016, 07:16:33 PM »


Winning party with percentage lead show, etc. Party vote maps probably tomorrow. And then the other states.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #31 on: March 15, 2016, 07:19:21 PM »
Though while I'm at it, one I made earlier: the Frankfurt City Council elections...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #32 on: March 16, 2016, 07:55:28 PM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #33 on: March 17, 2016, 02:10:32 PM »
Quote from: Beezer on March 17, 2016, 02:05:47 PM
Interesting north-south divide. What's the explanation behind it?

Well the south is basically a toxic wasteland isn't it (thanks Communism!) and gave the DVU its best showings back in 1998. Actually Bitterfeld was the best constituency for both DVU then and AfD now.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #34 on: March 18, 2016, 12:08:10 PM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #35 on: March 18, 2016, 07:36:46 PM »
That's not really as contradictory as you seem (?) to be implying given the circumstances.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #36 on: March 19, 2016, 07:38:37 PM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #37 on: March 28, 2016, 09:28:59 AM »


A little later than ideal for various reasons. You can look forward to the party vote maps later in the week.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #38 on: March 31, 2016, 11:13:16 AM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #39 on: August 31, 2016, 01:18:43 PM »
But always remember with polling: precedent is not quite tendency, tendency is not quite rule.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #40 on: September 04, 2016, 11:18:35 AM »
Unexpectedly strong SPD showing, although somehow it's not surprising. Worst ever result for the Left/PDS and CDU.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #41 on: September 04, 2016, 02:05:19 PM »
Quote from: DL on September 04, 2016, 01:49:17 PM
Any reason why the AfD would do so well in the far east?

Because it's Pomerania and it's always been that way inclined.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #42 on: September 04, 2016, 08:14:40 PM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #43 on: September 05, 2016, 06:47:13 PM »
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #44 on: September 06, 2016, 10:54:55 AM »
Of course voters can (and do) change their minds.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #45 on: September 17, 2016, 12:11:54 PM »
Because he's anything you want him to be baby.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 67,813
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« Reply #46 on: September 18, 2016, 01:25:06 PM »
Ah Berlin, you crazy thing.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #47 on: September 18, 2016, 01:28:05 PM »
Oh yeah don't make maps until all the results are in. Good advice everywhere, really, really good advice in a city like Berlin.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #48 on: September 18, 2016, 03:24:49 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on September 18, 2016, 02:45:06 PM
SPD under-performing exit polls while AfD over-performing exit polls. 

By pretty tiny amounts.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,813
United Kingdom


« Reply #49 on: September 18, 2016, 03:35:08 PM »
Some very interesting patterns, as always.
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