Rate Illinois senate if Kinzinger runs?

[Suburbia]

Likely D.

I think Kinzinger angles for Durbin's seat in 2026

Kinzinger wants to be on the GOP ticket one day to get Illinois back in the GOP column

[Suburbia]

you people are obsessed with Illinois.

Illinois will flip one day, mark my words.

[Suburbia]

He can't win.  I wonder if he's being a reasonable Republican so Dems don't gerrymander him out in 2022. I'd like to think there are still some decent Republicans left like him but I'm skeptical.

I have some serious doubts about that, Illinois is going to lose one seat, so obviously democrats in the legislature will try to eliminate one of the four GOP held seat and IL-16 is the most logical target as the areas it covers are close enough of Chicago to be sunk into a deep blue district and as IL-18/IL-15/IL-12 need to be keep intact if you want to turn IL-17 and IL-13 into dem leaning seats

I'm not saying it would work, but maybe he's trying to curry favor with Democrats by not being a complete lunatic like the rest of his party.  If I were a democrat gerrymandering there I'd find a way to gerrymander one of the deplorable out before him.  Maybe it's too hard to do logistically but it does give an incentive to skip him over.

Illinois democrats don't care about saving Kinzinger. They will have two aims : firstly they will try to give a likely/safe seat to all their incumbents (notably Bustos and Underwood), secondly they will try to screw up Davis and turn IL-13 into a dem leaning seat.

As for Kinzinger, if his district is not nuked by democrats, he would probably end up against one of the 3 other GOP congressman (the one which would get his district eliminated) and considering his anti Trump comments he would probably lose the primary anyway.

Even if Kinzinger is out in 2022, he could win a ILGOP primary.