Rate Illinois senate if Kinzinger runs?
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Author Topic: Rate Illinois senate if Kinzinger runs?  (Read 1749 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« on: December 03, 2020, 12:15:11 AM »
Id say a 5-10 point victory for Duckworth as she is a strong incumbent and partisanship might be too much for Kinzinger to overcome. He would be the strongest of the Illinois GOP bench though
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Left Wing
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« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2020, 12:21:12 AM »
Titanium D. Duckworth wins by like two points less than Durbin did this year.
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Not Me, Us
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« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2020, 01:20:14 AM »
Kinzinger would be dumb to run. Unless he somehow gets screwed by redistricting, he has that House seat for life, throwing it away for a losing Senate bid would be incredibly dumb.
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Gracile
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« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2020, 01:41:40 AM »
Safe D. Kinzinger is also incredibly overrated as a statewide candidate in my view (he has none of the appeal of recent GOP statewide winners nor the geographic advantage/constituency necessary to give him a win, especially at a time when it is becoming increasingly challenging for GOP candidates to get the numbers out of Chicagoland to pull off a win).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: December 03, 2020, 02:38:50 AM »
Safe D,

DUCKWORTH 53
Generic R 47
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #5 on: December 03, 2020, 02:41:29 AM »
Likely D if he runs against Duckworth in 2022.
'
Lean D if he runs against Durbin in 2026, assuming a Democrat is President (if a Republican is President in 2026, it's Safe D).
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tosk
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« Reply #6 on: December 03, 2020, 02:56:28 AM »
Big fan of Kinzinger but I don't think he'd make it all that competitive
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2020, 05:24:43 AM »
Likely D

Duckworth would have to run a real campaign but unless she falls asleep at wheel she would likely win by a high single digit margin
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2020, 05:30:12 AM »
Anyway it’s unlikely he would even get the nomination
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Suburbia
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« Reply #9 on: December 28, 2020, 12:18:45 PM »
Likely D.

I think Kinzinger angles for Durbin's seat in 2026

Kinzinger wants to be on the GOP ticket one day to get Illinois back in the GOP column
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #10 on: December 28, 2020, 12:48:43 PM »
Lean D against Duckworth.

Against Durbin... Safe D in a Republican Presidency, lean D in a Democratic Presidency.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #11 on: December 28, 2020, 01:20:32 PM »
Kinzinger would have much better luck challenging Pritzker or running for another statewide office (treasurer is an office that has had many GOP office-holders). Safe D.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #12 on: December 28, 2020, 01:34:24 PM »
What is it with Illinois?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #13 on: December 28, 2020, 01:38:18 PM »
If he somehow got the nomination likely D, Illinois isn't completely impossible to flip I guess, but he would really have to maintain Trump's support in South IL and reduce Ds margins in the suburbs big time, doing a county sweep - Cook and maybe lake, which is quite  a tall order.
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Ancestral Republican
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« Reply #14 on: December 28, 2020, 01:53:10 PM »
Kinzinger is yet another spineless "oppose Trump when it's convenient" GOP hack. Nobody is going to buy it.
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Gracile
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« Reply #15 on: December 28, 2020, 02:29:10 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Lincoln on December 28, 2020, 01:53:10 PM
Kinzinger is yet another spineless "oppose Trump when it's convenient" GOP hack. Nobody is going to buy it.

Yeah, I'm not really sure how this myth that Kinzinger is a "moderate" got started. He's pretty much a generic GOPer on all the substantive issues.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #16 on: December 28, 2020, 03:59:02 PM »
you people are obsessed with Illinois.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #17 on: December 28, 2020, 04:41:55 PM »
Quote from: jimmie on December 28, 2020, 03:59:02 PM
you people are obsessed with Illinois.

Illinois will flip one day, mark my words.
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anthonyjg
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« Reply #18 on: December 28, 2020, 05:03:12 PM »
The state is safe Democrat for the foreseeable future
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2020, 06:32:22 PM »
Safe D, the votes just aren’t there even with Duckworth being a weaker candidate.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2020, 06:34:15 PM »
I know that Rick Scott said that the Republican will heavily target Illinois in 2022 (along with New Hampshire, Vermont, Arizona, Nevada, Connecticut, and Maryland), so maybe Adam Kinzinger will have a chance at narrowly defeating Tammy Duckworth depending on turnout on Election Day?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: December 28, 2020, 07:01:46 PM »
Pritzker and DUCKWORTH will win by 5/10 pts, DUCKWORTH is popular in IL
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lfromnj
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« Reply #22 on: December 28, 2020, 08:14:11 PM »
Quote from: gracile on December 28, 2020, 02:29:10 PM
Quote from: Comrade Lincoln on December 28, 2020, 01:53:10 PM
Kinzinger is yet another spineless "oppose Trump when it's convenient" GOP hack. Nobody is going to buy it.

Yeah, I'm not really sure how this myth that Kinzinger is a "moderate" got started. He's pretty much a generic GOPer on all the substantive issues.

He did just vote for the 2k Stimulus and thats despite being relatively anti-Trump.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: December 28, 2020, 08:49:32 PM »
« Edited: December 28, 2020, 08:52:57 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »
Quote from: lfromnj on December 28, 2020, 08:14:11 PM
Quote from: gracile on December 28, 2020, 02:29:10 PM
Quote from: Comrade Lincoln on December 28, 2020, 01:53:10 PM
Kinzinger is yet another spineless "oppose Trump when it's convenient" GOP hack. Nobody is going to buy it.

Yeah, I'm not really sure how this myth that Kinzinger is a "moderate" got started. He's pretty much a generic GOPer on all the substantive issues.

He did just vote for the 2k Stimulus and thats despite being relatively anti-Trump.

It's not about one individual Rep, it's about the R party stands for a Leader McCarthy objected to the 2K Stimulus and Mcconnell is mum on the 2K checks, he didn't want to give out 600 checks. The R party and the R Senate stands in the way of the bonus

IL have alot of Durkin type of Reps like Oberweis, but the State Rs haven't been empowered since George Ryan, that's why DUCKWORTH and Pritzker won both won by 5/10 pts
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Galeel
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« Reply #24 on: December 28, 2020, 11:34:41 PM »
Safe D obviously. This is a senate race, partisanship will ensure that Duckworth wins basically no matter what.
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