Italian Elections and Politics 2022 - Our Time to Schlein

[FrancoAgo]

The referendum is postponed

[FrancoAgo]

Corona?

Yes

[FrancoAgo]

under 30%

in all Italy not needed movement are illegal 

[FrancoAgo]

Postponed also the municipal elections of the spring '20

EDIT: the government has denied this news


p.s. today Italy  has surpassed PRC in the covid siks

[FrancoAgo]

It's easy to end 6-1 for the rights (Campania to the PD coalition)
3-3 will be a win for the PD coalition (with Aosta to local parties)

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If Zingaretti accept to run for the Chamber is crazy, they risk to loss the Lazio

[FrancoAgo]

Elections update
The next spring would be a round of 1285 mayor elections
within Roma, Milano, Napoli, Torino, Bologna and Trieste

At moment the 11th April would be the regional elections in Calabria

[FrancoAgo]

Vote for Draghi for PD&M5SS will be a huge error, to the next election Salvini and Meloni will take 60% without FI; a this point try to do a Conte ter government w/o IV go to Senate if not get the confidence go to elections

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And get a far right government with ad huge majority in the parliament, i predict many constitutional laws

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Actually we have not a electoral law, the law is for the old number of parliament member
we need at minimum a new law with the new constituencies and districts

[FrancoAgo]

thanks for the update, they did it the last days of the year

[FrancoAgo]

imo the best system was the original, the proportional before of the Mattarellum,
the alone change that could been acceptable was to delete the CUN and redesign the districts* in same population fashion, this only for the Chamber. the Senate law was ok

* but not grow the districts number, stay with around 30 district so to get around 20 deputies for each

[FrancoAgo]

Hung parliament, nah, right coalition win

[FrancoAgo]

And local elections postponed to 15th September -15th October

[FrancoAgo]

imho, if Renzi join back to PD, this go down of 3/4%, Renzi is hated from almost 80% of italians.
Renzi party is more on 2-3%, and probably less, smaller parties are overrapresented in the polls

[FrancoAgo]

Alongside Recovery Fund, a hot topic in Italian politics in the last months it's the known as "DDL Zan" (Law Decree Zan) named after proponent PD MP Alessandro Zan

DDL mean Disegno di Legge, so i think the right translation is proposed Bill or draft law

[FrancoAgo]

Mayor Election results, regional capitol

Bologna:
Center-left+M5S 61.9%, elected
Right 29.6%
Power to the People 2.5%
An other five candidates  6%

Milano
Center-left 57.7%, elected
Right 32%
Italexit 3%
M5S 2.7%
An other nine candidates 5.6%

Napoli
Center-left+M5S 62.9%, elected
Right 21.9%
Dissident center-left 8.2%
Left 5.6%
An other three candidates 1.4%

Roma
Right 30.1%, to run-off
Center-left 27%, to run-off
Dissident center-left 19.8%
M5S 19.1%
An other sixteen candidates 4%

Torino
Center-left 43.9%, to run-off
Right 38.9%, to run-off
M5S 9%
Left 2.5%
An other nine candidates 5.7%

Trieste
Right 46.9%,to run-off
Center-left 31.6% to run-off
Local list 8.6% (look like a left leaning candidate)
Anti-Vax 4.5%
M5S 3.4%
An other five candidates 5%

p.s. i corrected the Trieste local list from center-left leaning to left leaning

[FrancoAgo]

Mayoral elections, municipality over 100k inhab., non regional capitol

Latina
Right 48.3%, to run-off
Center-Left 35.7%, to run-off
Local list 5.1% (i suspect this is right leaning)
Far Right 3.3%
M5S 3.3%
Center-left dissident 3.2%
An other three candidates 1.1%

Novara
Right 69.6%, elected
Center-Left 20.5%
M5S 6.4%
Center-Left dissident 2.6%
an other candidate 0.9%

Ravenna
Center-Left+M5S 59.5%, elected
Right 22.5%
Local list 5% (centrist)
Italexit 3.9%
Forza Italia 3.3%
Antivax 2.9%
an other five candidates 2.9%

Rimini
Center-Left 51.3%, elected
Right 32.9%
M5S 8.9%
Antivax 4.1%
an other two candidates 2.8%

Salerno
Center-Left 57.4%, elected
M5S 16.8%
Right 16%
Local list 3.5% (right leaning)
an other five candidates 6.3%

[FrancoAgo]

result municipality over 50k inhabitants

Bologna: CL Hold
Center-left+M5S 61.9%, elected
Right 29.6%
Power to the People 2.5%
An other five candidates  6%

Milano: CL Hold
Center-left 57.7%, elected
Right 32%
Italexit 3%
M5S 2.7%
An other nine candidates 5.6%

Napoli: CL gain from Left
Center-left+M5S 62.9%, elected
Right 21.9%
Dissident center-left 8.2%
Left 5.6%
An other three candidates 1.4%

Roma: CL gain from M5S
Right 30.1%, to run-off 39.9%
Center-left 27%, to run-off 60.1%
Dissident center-left 19.8%
M5S 19.1%
An other sixteen candidates 4%

Torino: CL gain from M5S
Center-left 43.9%, to run-off 59.2%
Right 38.9%, to run-off 40.8%
M5S 9%
Left 2.5%
An other nine candidates 5.7%

Trieste: R hold
Right 46.9%,to run-off 51.3%
Center-left 31.6% to run-off 48.7%
Local list 8.6% (look like a left leaning candidate)
Anti-Vax 4.5%
M5S 3.4%
An other five candidates 5%

Latina: CL Hold
Right 48.3%, to run-off 45.1%
Center-Left 35.7%, to run-off 54.9%
Local list 5.1% (i suspect this is right leaning)
Far Right 3.3%
M5S 3.3%
Center-left dissident 3.2%
An other three candidates 1.1%

Novara: R Hold
Right 69.6%, elected
Center-Left 20.5%
M5S 6.4%
Center-Left dissident 2.6%
an other candidate 0.9%

Ravenna: CL Hold
Center-Left+M5S 59.5%, elected
Right 22.5%
Local list 5% (centrist)
Italexit 3.9%
Forza Italia 3.3%
Antivax 2.9%
an other five candidates 2.9%

Rimini: CL Hold
Center-Left 51.3%, elected
Right 32.9%
M5S 8.9%
Antivax 4.1%
an other two candidates 2.8%

Salerno: CL Hold
Center-Left 57.4%, elected
M5S 16.8%
Right 16%
Local list 3.5% (right leaning)
an other five candidates 6.3%

Cosenza: CL gain from R
Right 37.4% to run-off 42.4%
Center-left 23.8% to run-off 57.6%
Right dissident 13.9%
M5S 12.7%
Left 4.8%
Local center-right list 3.5%
An other two candidates 3.9%

Cerignola (FG): CL gain from local CR
Local center-right 29.6% to run-off 46.1%
Center-left+M5S 23.3% to run-off 53.9%
Dissident center-left 22%
Right 18.3%
an other local center-right 5.5%
An other two candidates 1.3%

Battipaglia (SA): Dissident R Hold
Dissident Right 45.7% to run-off 65.7%
Center-left 33.1% to run-off 34.3%
Local (center-left leaning) 8.2%
Right/FdI 4.9%
Left 3.4%
M5S 3%
an other candidate 1.7%

Afragola (NA): R Hold
Right 43.4% to run-off 51.4%
Center-right 35.9% to run-off 48.6%
Center-left+M5S 20.8%

Benevento: CR Hold
Center-right 49.4% to run-off 52.7%
Center-left 32.4% to run-off 47.3%
Left 13.2%
Right/FdI 5%

Caserta: CL Hold
Center-left 35.3% to run-off 53.6%
Right 30.1% to run-off 46.4%
Right dissident 13%
Local left 10.7%
an other local left 8.1%
an other two candidates 2.8%

Grosseto: R Hold
Right 56.2%
Center-left+M5S 31.1%
Center-left dissident 5.5%
An other five candidates 7.2%

Savona: CL gain from R
Center-left 47.8% to run-off 62.3%
Right 37.3% to run-off 37.7%
M5S 9.8%
Local, center-right leaning 3.9%
an other candidate 1.2%

Novara: R Hold
Right 69.6%
Center-left 20.5%
M5S 6.4%
Center-left dissident 2.6%
an other candidate 0.9%

Busto Arsizio (VA): R Hold
Right 55.1%
Center-left+M5S 20.7%
Center-right 14.7%
Center-left dissident 5.4%
Left 2.6%
an other candidate 1.5%

Gallarate (VA): R Hold
Right 52.8%
Center-left 34%
Local right 6.4%
Local, centrist leaning 5%
an other candidate 1.8%

Varese: CL Hold
Center-left+M5S 48% to run-off 53.2%
Right 44.9% to run-off 46.8%
Local transformist 2.8%
An other four candidates 4.3%

Rho (MI): CL Hold
Center-left 52.5%
Right 32.3%
Local, center-right 12.2%
Left 3%

Pordenone: R Hold
Right 65.4%
Center-left+M5S 29.9%
Local buxom woman 3.2%
An other candidate 1.5%

Olbia (SS): R Hold
Right 52.1%
Center-left+M5S 47.9%

Vittoria (RG) TBD
Center-left 39.1% to run-off 56%
Right 29.5% to run-off 44%
M5S 16.6%
local, left leaning 14.8%

[FrancoAgo]

I would prefer Berlusconi to Casellati, that is not Casellati, Casellati is the husband

[FrancoAgo]

The list has now been published and to my surprise there was no Casellati - the third name alongside Nordio and Pera was instead former mayor of Milan Letizia Moratti. But we'll have to see whether this is not just a tactical move to force the centre-left to take more specific stances.

to this 3 i prefer Berlusconi

[FrancoAgo]

The list has now been published and to my surprise there was no Casellati - the third name alongside Nordio and Pera was instead former mayor of Milan Letizia Moratti. But we'll have to see whether this is not just a tactical move to force the centre-left to take more specific stances.

to this 3 i prefer Berlusconi

Why?

because is a well known bastard, the others are less known but in deeply worst, already the fact that the 2 female use their husband surname...

[FrancoAgo]

the title is wrong the round 7 will be the 29th january

[FrancoAgo]

if the right coalition broke up after this allora ne è valsa la pena
and i don't see  needs of the rush for elect the new president Mattarella first term end the 3rd February and also if there hadn't be a new president-elect, we have the senato president for this work (like US vice-president)

[FrancoAgo]

Thats were the 80s, was not wild for the 80s or the late 70s