Can we hone in on the "tipping point" for Florida?

[Devils30]

I don't think Dems can get much worse in Palm Beach. The demographics there show high Hispanic growth and someone like Hillary or Cuomo can very likely get back above 60%. The reason the trend looks bad there is because Lieberman helped a lot in 2000 (Gore did better than Clinton ever did). Obama struggled with white upper middle class types here and other places relative to 2008. This tax deal shouldnt hurt him one bit with this group.

[Devils30]

PB County is 60% white in the 2010 census and includes a large northeastern and Jewish population. Bottom line is that a Democrat is much more likely to make it into the mid 60s than fall to the low 50s.