What will be the Next Big 3 Swing States?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

The biggest thing that hindered Republicans in OH was his drop in African American support. OH used to sport a rather significan Republican performance amongst the group amounting to 16% in 2004, making the difference for dubya. That decline has weakened their numbers Cincinnatti and Colombus.

The Republicans need to restore their numbers amongst that group back into the teens where it was. The Colombus area has also trended heavily Democratic. A good example is the old district that Kasich held in the 1980's and 1990's. It was won by a Democrat in 1980 because of a scandal and Kasich won it in Dem year 1982, and held it by landslides as did Pat Tiberi after him. Obama won the district if I recall and black turnout made Pat Tiberi sweat quite a lot after 2008, that is until Kasich became Governor and the GOP drew the Democrats a vote sink in Colombus.