Republican Bayou/Cauci Saturday election results thread (first results @3pm ET?)

[Bigby]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

[ElectionsGuy]

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

Especially with Caucuses. He lead in Iowa, he lead in Alaska, and he lead in Kansas.

[The Free North]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

[swf541]

Looks like Cruz will probably heavily overperform his numbers in Kansas.

And pollsters have to answer again, why they were so dead wrong. Especially about the Trumpster. Looks like he loses all states with a lead below 10% in the polls.

Especially with Caucuses. He lead in Iowa, he lead in Alaska, and he lead in Kansas.

alaska poll was from overtime and the kansas poll was rather shady as well and some polls did show iowa not as badly as the average showed

[Xing]

Cruz winning Kansas isn't surprising. If he actually wins by anything like 30%, THAT would be surprising.

[Bigby]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

If you're talking about Trump vs Cruz, I don't remember New England being in the Confederacy and Oklahoma and Texas being in the Union.

[Orthogonian Society Treasurer]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

Massachusetts, the heart of the old Confederacy.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Remember Kentucky is Rand Paul territory and a lot of Rand's supporters in Kentucky like Cruz a lot. Trump doesn't have a lock on the state.

[The Free North]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

Massachusetts, the heart of the old Confederacy.

Well played.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Remember Kentucky is Rand Paul territory and a lot of Rand's supporters in Kentucky like Cruz a lot. Trump doesn't have a lock on the state.

All indications are that Trump is doing well, sample precincts that news crews are at and from twitter suggest TRUMP is dominating

[ElectionsGuy]

11% in, Cruz leading 49-25!

[Gass3268]

CNN: Cruz campaign feeling good about Maine and Louisiana as well, but not necessarily wins. Feeling good about decent delegate counts.

This doesn't jive with the "reports" we are seeing out of Maine. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

[Landslide Lyndon]

What happened with Maine? No more results?

[Vosem]

CNN: Cruz campaign feeling good about Maine and Louisiana as well, but not necessarily wins. Feeling good about decent delegate counts.

This doesn't jive with the "reports" we are seeing out of Maine. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

I think it jives with Ted Cruz being a master of setting expectations.

[swf541]

What happened with Maine? No more results?

Assuming those "reports" were real

[The Free North]

Cruz should win Kansas running away at this point. No real way Trump can catch up barring some miraculous statistical anomalies in the first 10% of the results.

[Figueira]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

Have you looked at any maps of this primary at all?

[The Other Castro]

CNN: Cruz campaign feeling good about Maine and Louisiana as well, but not necessarily wins. Feeling good about decent delegate counts.

This doesn't jive with the "reports" we are seeing out of Maine. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

As in you think Cruz will actually win Maine outright?

[yankeesfan]

12% in now, Cruz back above 50%
Cruz 50.3%
Trump 24.5%

[The Free North]

It's amazing how this primary seasons seems to be East vs West.

Union vs Confederacy*

Have you looked at any maps of this primary at all?

To be fair, Trumps worst states have been outside of the South. Yes, MA was an anomaly, but I think he would have lost NH if it was just 3/4 candidates and Cruz has beat him in the Plains.

He has not won in the Midwest either.

[Kingpoleon]

So, Confederacy v. Union? Are Kasich and Rubio the main Unionists, Cruz the Confederate, and Trump the Easterner?

[Joe Biden 2020]

Any reason why Kansas hasn't been called, yet?  Are there caucuses still going on?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Any reason why Kansas hasn't been called, yet?  Are there caucuses still going on?

There are MASSIVE lines in Wichita that have not yet even begun to caucus yet

[PaperKooper]

DDHQ calls Kansas for Cruz

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Counting starting in Maine.