WA-Elway: Inslee leads Bryant by 9

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Article.

Inslee: 39%
Bryant: 30%

MOE 4.5%

Could this race be a real contest?

[JMT]

I think it'll be closer than most people expect, but if Rob McKenna couldn't win the open seat 4 years ago, no way Bryant defeats an incumbent in a presidential year. So it'll be competitive, but Inslee wins.

[Asian Nazi]

I think it'll be closer than most people expect, but if Rob McKenna couldn't win the open seat 4 years ago, no way Bryant defeats an incumbent in a presidential year. So it'll be competitive, but Inslee wins.

Yeah, Seattle area Republicans seem to have a pretty high floor in statewide contests.  But Inslee is uncontroversial enough where he should win in the high single or low double digits imo.

[Ebowed]

Inslee is doing a good job, he should be fine.

[Maxwell]

Inslee is probably fine as long as he's not in the Christine Gregoire zone of approval ratings.

[RI]

I think it'll be closer than most people expect, but if Rob McKenna couldn't win the open seat 4 years ago, no way Bryant defeats an incumbent in a presidential year. So it'll be competitive, but Inslee wins.

McKenna would've done better if he didn't betray his moderate image by going hard after the ACA. That certainly cost him my vote.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I think it'll be closer than most people expect, but if Rob McKenna couldn't win the open seat 4 years ago, no way Bryant defeats an incumbent in a presidential year. So it'll be competitive, but Inslee wins.

McKenna would've done better if he didn't betray his moderate image by going hard after the ACA. That certainly cost him my vote.

Yet you support Kasich, who firmly opposes (most of) the ACA.....

[RI]

I think it'll be closer than most people expect, but if Rob McKenna couldn't win the open seat 4 years ago, no way Bryant defeats an incumbent in a presidential year. So it'll be competitive, but Inslee wins.

McKenna would've done better if he didn't betray his moderate image by going hard after the ACA. That certainly cost him my vote.

Yet you support Kasich, who firmly opposes (most of) the ACA.....

There's rather a difference between them. Kasich voluntarily expanded Medicaid in Ohio. McKenna wanted to do away with that portion of the ACA.

Oh, and I just remembered McKenna is pro-choice, whereas Kasich is not.

[henster]

Why would a Seattle Port Commissioner win when a popular two term state AG couldn't?

[Xing]

Barring a Republican landslide, Inslee is safe.

[publicunofficial]

Barring a Republican landslide, Inslee is safe.

Washington has even held up it's Democratic-bias during Republican wave years, so Inslee might even be favored then.

[Maxwell]

Barring a Republican landslide, Inslee is safe.

Washington has even held up it's Democratic-bias during Republican wave years, so Inslee might even be favored then.

When was the last time a Republican wave coincided with a Presidential election though, 1980?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Barring a Republican landslide, Inslee is safe.

Washington has even held up it's Democratic-bias during Republican wave years, so Inslee might even be favored then.

When was the last time a Republican wave coincided with a Presidential election though, 1980?

1984

[sg0508]

I think the bigger question is, is this the year that the GOP gets completely swept down ballot as well? They came very, very close in '12, winning one down ballot race by one point and Democrats keep getting stronger.

Is this the year? Are there any viable races below the Pres/Gov that the GOP has a legit shot of?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think the bigger question is, is this the year that the GOP gets completely swept down ballot as well? They came very, very close in '12, winning one down ballot race by one point and Democrats keep getting stronger.

Is this the year? Are there any viable races below the Pres/Gov that the GOP has a legit shot of?

If the WA Republicans lose all the statewide races, would that mean no statewide elected Republicans in any of the three West Coast states? That would be an interesting milestone.

[publicunofficial]

I think the bigger question is, is this the year that the GOP gets completely swept down ballot as well? They came very, very close in '12, winning one down ballot race by one point and Democrats keep getting stronger.

Is this the year? Are there any viable races below the Pres/Gov that the GOP has a legit shot of?

The only statewide position the GOP is competitive for is the lone office they still hold, Secretary of State. If Bryant does worse than McKenna 2012 (And I suspect he will) then I could see Kim Wyman suffering as a result and losing by a hair.

Republicans have held the Secretary of State position since 1964, for reference.

[Bojack Horseman]

Barring a Republican landslide, Inslee is safe.

Washington has even held up it's Democratic-bias during Republican wave years, so Inslee might even be favored then.

When was the last time a Republican wave coincided with a Presidential election though, 1980?

1984

Yet that was the year that the streak began for Democrats in Washington. Despite Reagan winning Washington by a wide margin, Booth Gardner destroyed incumbent Republican John Spellman by 7 points.

[RI]

I suspect the prison release issue will dog Inslee for quite a while.