🇵🇹 Portugal's politics and elections 3.0

[Conservatopia]

Smart of Pedro Nuno Santos to jump from this sinking ship. It's clear that Costa is over and we are getting an early election sooner or later.

It certainly has a bit of a Boris Johnson feel to it. I'm still a proponent that constant elections are a worse alternative than a simpler PM and cabinet change though, I don't think it"s good for countries to go down a path to becoming like Israel.

Don't want to Britpost but this has a Britain circa Nov '21 - Apr '22 feel to it. During that time things were a mess but Boris (like Costa) was fairly secure.

It all turned to poo very quickly aftet that though. Things could go south all at once for Costa in the coming months if he is perceived as the root of the malaise.

[Conservatopia]

why isn't the PSD surging instead of just being tied with the PS

Just think back to all the jokes about "CON+5" from 2021 when it seemed no matter what they did, the Tories remained just ahead of Labour.

Then it all fell apart very, very quickly.

So far the Aliança Luso-Inglesa seems to have lead to Portugal following Britain's political trajectory since 2019, and it may well continue.

[Conservatopia]

Don't want to Britpost but this has a Britain circa Nov '21 - Apr '22 feel to it. During that time things were a mess but Boris (like Costa) was fairly secure.

It all turned to poo very quickly after that though. Things could go south all at once for Costa in the coming months if he is perceived as the root of the malaise.

Just think back to all the jokes about "CON+5" from 2021 when it seemed no matter what they did, the Tories remained just ahead of Labour.

Then it all fell apart very, very quickly.

Could I be proved right and this breaks the dam for the PSD, like what eventually happened for Labour in Great Britain?

[Conservatopia]

I'd be tempted by Chega but I prefer Porto to Benfica so clearly not the party for me.

[Conservatopia]

Is it thought likely that the AD will become a perma-coalition, de-facto single party similar to the L/NP Coalition or Union? CDS have no reason to believe they will one day be relavent alone again.

[Conservatopia]

Portuguese polling is dogshit and I'm all here for it.