Rothenberg: Democrats could get to 60 Senate seats by 2010

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

oh brother.

only a misguided leftist would think susan collins is in trouble.

Only a misguided rightist would've though Mark Kennedy was more likely to win than Bob Casey.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The idea of South Dakota being seriously contested...Republicans need to let go of that one.  Johnson is running for re-election, is popular and has sympathy for what he has suffered.  He would beat Governor Rounds - even if Rounds ran which seems unlikely.  The Republican bench is pretty shallow in South Dakota.

A recent poll showed him beating Rounds 53%-39%.

What pollster?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I see the Republicans making two net gains, and the democrats making one net gain for a 50-50 Senate...with a Republican Vice President breaking the tie. Then again...it could be a Democrat Vice President...who knows.

Just which two seats do you see flipping to the Republicans? Louisiana is one, and only deluded republican hacks seriously believe that South Dakota or Montana will be seriously contested, so what is your second seat that you are so sure is going to flip?

See part in bold and who you are replying to. There's your answer.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Maine, Minn, and NH all have a good shot to flip.  I love the GOPers who think that Collins = Snowe... =)

Take a look at Collins' ratings. She isn't that far from Snowe in terms of popularity. You will not beat Susan Collins.

Take a look at Max Baucus' ratings.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Maine, Minn, and NH all have a good shot to flip.  I love the GOPers who think that Collins = Snowe... =)

Take a look at Collins' ratings. She isn't that far from Snowe in terms of popularity. You will not beat Susan Collins.

Take a look at Max Baucus' ratings.

I have never really believed that Baucus was vulnerable/that the GOP had a good chance at a pickup so thanks for providing us with yet another useless post.

Well maybe not you but other hacks have claimed so.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Maine, Minn, and NH all have a good shot to flip.  I love the GOPers who think that Collins = Snowe... =)

Take a look at Collins' ratings. She isn't that far from Snowe in terms of popularity. You will not beat Susan Collins.

Take a look at Max Baucus' ratings.

I have never really believed that Baucus was vulnerable/that the GOP had a good chance at a pickup so thanks for providing us with yet another useless post.

Well maybe not you but other hacks have claimed so.

Don't respond to my post with that comment without stating that it was directed towards others.

Haven't you said you think Johnson could lose to Rounds though? Johnson's ratings are even better than both Collins and Baucus's.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah, but Thune was also much more popular than anyone else the SD GOP has now.

So you admit now the only chance the GOP has a good chance of picking up is Louisiana?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah, but Thune was also much more popular than anyone else the SD GOP has now.

More popular than Rounds? I doubt it.

Thune won with over 74% in 2000, the last election before he ran for Senate. Rounds won with 61.69%.

I'm surprised Thune did get so popular. He doesn't fit the state that well.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I don't know anything about his opponent. But Rounds had a joke opponent too.

Regardless of her popularity, Collins has never won big margins.

Right, 58-42 is picayune.

DeWine won by a bigger margin in 2000. Not that I think Collins is all that vulnerable, just saying. She has a better chance of losing than Mark Kennedy every did of winning, let's put it that way

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The only reason the GOP gained in Montana is because the Democrats picked up lots of seats in 2004 because of backlash against Martz (similar to the situation in Ohio last year). Baucus isn't going anywhere.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Tell me again, why did Tester only win by about a point?

Because he's a leftie who doesn't fit the state at all. And that makes his victory all the sweeter.

So you're admitting that if Burns didn't make totally outrageous comments and wasn't one of the most recognizably corrupt members of Congress tied to one of the most recognizably corrupt men in the country, Tester would have been owned?

Yes. Your point?