2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan

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https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1443606945236148225?s=19

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https://davesredistricting.org/join/abf6a9ee-0c85-479d-bac7-46cbb3b23e78

My attemp on redistricting in Michigan: 1 majority AA seat, one majority-minority seat (both of them can be majority AA if switch few precincts between them), 2 safe Democratic seats, 2 likely D seats, 3 safe Republicans seats and 6 highly-competetive seats

8-5 Trump in 2016
10-3 Biden in 2020

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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/michigan/proposal_18/

This 18th!!! proposal actually strikes as the best of them all

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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1447792080605024259?s=20

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https://twitter.com/clarajanehen/status/1455290831309623301?s=20

https://twitter.com/clarajanehen/status/1455292485572386820?s=20

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Can somebody do a DRA for the Birch Plan. I think that's the one that ultimately will be selected

Three maps in DRA

https://twitter.com/Fo4Afuture/status/1455296647890604036?t=RHCuk-yfHw96LV7bgDxm...

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Birch would have been better

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I placed a new district on DRA, taking into account the boundaries of the former districts. That's what I got as a result

The new 11th district includes
349,572 people from the former 11th district (Stevens)
233,676 people from the former 14th district (Lawrence)
192,254 people from the former 9th district (Levin)

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I placed a new district on DRA, taking into account the boundaries of the former districts. That's what I got as a result

The new 11th district includes
349,572 people from the former 11th district (Stevens)
233,676 people from the former 14th district (Lawrence)
192,254 people from the former 9th district (Levin)

Also did the same for MI-03. New MI-03 includes more people (443,012) from the Huizenga's district than from Meijer's district (386,991).

So, I wouldn't be surprised to see Huizenga running against Meijer and winning with Trump's endorsement and establishment support

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Yeah, maybe you're right. Upton's seat is more Republican-friedly and Huizenga may force Upton to retire, but also Meijer's district contains far more of former district of Huizenga than Upton's district

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Again we just saw Andy Levin do the same, why would we expect Huizenga to do any different?

Huizenga probably will run in the district where he has a better chance of winning. And, yes, most likely you are right, and he will run in the new MI-04, because Upton is easier to beat than Meijer and MI-04 is far easier to hold in the general election than MI-03

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What are the odds Meijer runs in the Grand Rapids districts and becomes a Katko like figure

I think that probability of his reelection campaign is very high, he amost certainly is running again. The only problem for him is the primary, but I don't think he will lose to MAGA candidate. And I think there's a pretty good chance that he'll win and be like Katko/Fitzpatrick.

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Yeah, maybe you're right. Upton's seat is more Republican-friedly and Huizenga may force Upton to retire, but also Meijer's district contains far more of former district of Huizenga than Upton's district

If Moolenaar choses to run against Kildee then Huizenga will probably run in the 2nd.

Moolenaar declared that he will run in MI-02