Primaries to watch Today (5/7/24)- Indiana
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  Primaries to watch Today (5/7/24)- Indiana
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Author Topic: Primaries to watch Today (5/7/24)- Indiana  (Read 568 times)
WV222
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« on: May 07, 2024, 12:57:21 PM »

-IN-GOV GOP (Mike Braun is leaving Washington to try for the Governor's Mansion. He still should win easily tonight, but it wasn't the coronation or field clearer he would want. Lt. Gov Suzanne Crouch is carrying endorsements from Reps. Larry Buchson and Greg Pence (both retiring), a nice load of state legislators, and were able to get the Indiana Right to Life to split their endorsement three ways. Braun carries the Trump endorsement, AFP, and Club for Growth. Former state Commerce Secretary Brad Chambers has the backing of former Rep. Susan Brooks and Indycar team  owner Michael Andretti.)

-IN-3 GOP (Jim Banks' open seat. This race will be between Wendy Davis and former Congressman Marlin Stutzman. Stutzman is facing outside PAC money attacks on immigration but also has Club for Growth and the Freedom Caucus spending money on him. Davis is also getting some outside money. Tim Smith might make some noise here is he is racking up co-endorsements with the former two from Indiana Right to Life. Most of the right will be fine with whoever wins this primary.)

-IN-5 GOP (Victoria Spartz might be primaried after initially announcing a shock retirement before putting herself back into the race. Flip-flopping on wanting the job aside, she is staring down State Sen. Chuck Goodrich who has been surging in later polls. Goodrich is trying to turn Spartz's support on Ukraine aid into a losing equation for Spartz. Goodrich has been trying to run circles around Spartz on TV as well. Spartz is holding support from the Indiana Right to Life, NRA, and Susan B. Anthony List. Goodrich has the AFP and GOPAC backing him from the outside.)

-IN-6 GOP (Greg Pence's open seat. Jefferson Shreve, who lost the mayoral contest in Indianapolis last year is back and splashing the cash once again. He carries support from the state and national Chamber of Commerce. State Rep. Mike Speedy is gaining support from pro-life groups, AFP, and the National Association of Homebuilders. Vivek Ramaswamy himself weighed into the race, backing Jamison Carrier. Expect Shreve and Speedy to be battling for the nod with Carrier playing spoiler.)

-IN-8 GOP (Larry Bucshon's open seat. A free-for-all for this safe GOP seat, with outside money flowing in from groups like UDP and AIPAC to stop the return of former Rep. John Hostettler. Why? He has voted with Democrats on Israel-related issues. The best person to try to beat him for State Sen. and former Senate Majority Leader Mark Messmer. He carries the RJC and Pro-Israel America endorsements. Pro-Life groups are split between Hostettler and Messmer. Dominick Kavanaugh has a nice money haul himself.)

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Bismarck
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2024, 01:31:35 PM »

Turnout has been low so far.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2024, 01:45:49 PM »

Also contested:

IN-SEN D
IN-1 R
IN-3 D
IN-4 D
IN-4 R
IN-5 D
IN-7 D
IN-7 R
IN-8 D
IN-9 D
IN-9 R
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2024, 03:47:27 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2024, 06:09:48 PM by SnowLabrador »

Would a weaker win for Braun be seen as a bad sign for Trump in November?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2024, 05:34:27 PM »

Calling IN-9 R for Houchin
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: May 07, 2024, 06:10:46 PM »

Calling D Sen for McCray, R gov for Braun
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2024, 06:39:27 PM »

IN 3 D: Adolph
IN 4 R: Baird
IN 8 D: Hurt
IN 8 R: Messmer
IN 9 D: Peck

Uncalled:

IN 1 R
IN 3 R
IN 4 D
IN 5 D
IN 5 R
IN 6 R
IN 7 D
IN 7 R
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: May 07, 2024, 07:07:02 PM »

IN 4 D: Holder
IN 5 D: Pickett
IN 6 R: Shreve
IN 7 D: Carson

Uncalled:

IN 1 R
IN 3 R
IN 5 R
IN 7 R
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: May 07, 2024, 07:23:49 PM »

IN 1 R: Niemeyer
IN 5 R: Spartz
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #9 on: May 07, 2024, 07:25:57 PM »

Messmer won a lot faster than I was expecting. Good to see - Massie and Greene don't need any more help.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #10 on: May 07, 2024, 07:34:44 PM »

Shame Spartz won, but I could put up with two more years of her and hopefully she’s gone in 2026.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: May 07, 2024, 10:44:13 PM »

IN 3 R: Stutzman
IN 7 R: Pace

That's all for this week.
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Mr. Matt
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« Reply #12 on: May 07, 2024, 10:59:06 PM »

The person currently leading in the IN-7 Republican primary died back in March (just after the cutoff to be removed from the ballot) link
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: May 08, 2024, 11:56:23 AM »

Trump is still winning primary states they are still over polls him
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