Turnout

[Joe Biden 2020]

What is the expected turnout for November 6?  Will it be higher or lower than average?  than 2008?  and how will it help or hurt either candidate?

[Politico]

My early, broad prediction: Romney gets more votes than McCain did while Obama gets about as many votes as Kerry did (maybe 1-3 million more).

Relative to 2008 Democrat/Republican results, it is safe to bet that Obama will lose votes and Romney will gain votes. I suspect Obama will lose about the same percentage of votes as Carter did, almost surely faring slightly better. It is extremely difficult to predict how much better Romney will fare than McCain.

[Tender Branson]

Almost definitely lower.

Was already the case in 1996 and looking at the primary numbers, the total turnout in November will probably be somewhere in between 115 and 125 Mio. voters.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Higher than 2004 but lower than 2008. Minorities will turn out to vote for the President and will keep him above 250 electoral votes. Mormons wont help Romney much because they already vote disproportionately more and more republican than the population as a whole. Southern whites will turn out to vote against Obama, but not necessarily for Romney.