Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 25977 times)
gf20202
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Posts: 329
« on: April 19, 2016, 05:49:55 PM »

Josh Marshall from TPM posted some toplines with a grain of salt caveat:

Josh Marshall ‏@joshtpm 6m6 minutes ago
Early exits, Grain o Salt: 18-29s, Bern 69, Hill 31; Af-Americans Bern 24, Hill 76.

If HRC is up 52 with AAs, it should comfortably be in the double digits as long as the exit polls are representative of the state.
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gf20202
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Posts: 329
« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 06:38:15 PM »

That actually isn't too shabby for Sanders, he kept her below 10 points in her homestate.

If that's the actual result, sure. Big if.
That wouldn't be too bad, but 8-10 point win is still plus 24-30 delegates for her. If the goal is to win the nomination, he needed to actually beat her. Getting a little late for morale victories and expectations game, especially since he outspent her 2 to 1 in New York.
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gf20202
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Posts: 329
« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 07:23:47 PM »

For God's sake... why is Sanders moving on to PA already?
For good or bad, they've pretty much done that the last several months. It's a strategic decision to send the signal, no matter win or lose, they are staying in and fighting. They've moved on even after big wins.

Also, in this specific case, it obviously lowers expectation in terms of how the media reports on the ultimate results.
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