Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (user search)
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  Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Roy Moore (R)
 
#2
Doug Jones (D)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 189

Author Topic: Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread  (Read 128588 times)
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: December 11, 2017, 11:34:30 AM »

I guess the nice thing for Democrats is that the few high quality polls we've seen have had Jones ahead, right?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2017, 11:43:41 AM »

Yeah it's a turnout game. Jones wins if turnout patterns are such that the electorate is significantly less Republican than usual. Whether that happens is anyone's guess really.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2017, 10:49:33 AM »

Relax. Sample some adult beverage you like.  You know Fox has it pegged.  So, relax.

Roy Moore is probably a prohibitionist so we need to enjoy those adult beverages while we can.

I am sure you can find a moonshiner somewhere in the Alabama hills.  Just like you can find one in the Virginia mountains. 

I'm gonna have a whisky Roy Moore style - 14 years old and defenceless against my sampling.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2017, 11:22:44 AM »

Strong turnout early on in Midtown Huntsville:

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That's bad for Jones right?
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2017, 11:24:07 AM »

Strong turnout early on in Midtown Huntsville:

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Ugh, that's way too high. Maybe not for that precinct, but if it looks that way everywhere...#RIPJones.

I hope your being sarcastic...

Wouldn't downtown Huntsville be much more D-heavy than the rest of Madison County?

But the only way a white suburb is D-heavy is probably depressed turnout among the GOP base.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2017, 11:39:45 AM »

Strong turnout early on in Midtown Huntsville:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Ugh, that's way too high. Maybe not for that precinct, but if it looks that way everywhere...#RIPJones.

I hope your being sarcastic...

About what? If turnout statewide is at presidential levels, Jones has no pathway to victory.

About freaking out over turnout reports.

We're reaching peak atlas once again

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdWAhP8rYKA

A+
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