I just noticed the popular vote (user search)
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  I just noticed the popular vote (search mode)
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Author Topic: I just noticed the popular vote  (Read 4108 times)
rbt48
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« on: November 28, 2004, 10:51:24 PM »

A bunch of votes (like 800,000) were counted in Washington State after election day, with their absurd mail-in system.  Of course, these were all accounted for over a week ago.
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rbt48
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2004, 10:45:20 PM »

I believe the latest results came from Colorado. Colorado tightened up a lot, check out the results now, Bush only carried the state by 4%. CO does look to be trending to the Dems.
Colorado didn't tighted up much in raw votes.  After election night, Bush led  by ~107,500 and now his lead is ~99,500 votes.  As noted by MODU, this does decrease the marginal percentage.

What is noteworthy is that Bush's nationwide lead has shrunken from 3.5 million to 3,263,499.  So his lead has narrowed by ~250,000.  Kerry has not gained as much as the 400,000+ votes that Gore did after the initial count was in but, I agree with zorkpolitics that it is mostly because of huge volumes of absentee ballots--mostly from California and Washington.  In CA alone, the Kerry lead grew from about 1 million on election night to 1.25 million today.  Personally, I maintain that provisional ballots will break close to 51 to 48% in Bush's favor nationwide.  I could be wrong, but I think voters on either side were liable to have lapsed registrations or have moved and been required to cast a provisional ballot.

I envision that as midwestern states release their final certified totals in the next two weeks, Bush's margin will grow just a little.
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rbt48
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2004, 03:37:22 PM »

I saw the updated CA Presidential results on that state's website.  Kerry's lead in CA is now up to 1,249,533 votes.  Since the last update, posted by David, Kerry moved up 104,636 and Bush gained 88,046 votes.  This is a 54.3% to 45.7% split, not that different than the 54.6 to 44.1% that David had reported up till now.  So, the absentee votes (at least the latest batch) track pretty consistently with the other votes cast there.
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rbt48
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2004, 02:24:28 PM »

Suggestion for David:

It would be nice on the EV map at the top if you could add the date you last updated to the unofficial popular vote.

Thanks!
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