Most Likely Path for Donald Trump to win re-election? (November 2019)
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Author Topic: Most Likely Path for Donald Trump to win re-election? (November 2019)  (Read 406 times)
538Electoral
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« on: November 04, 2019, 01:05:59 AM »
As of November 2019, What would you say is Trump's most likely path to re-election?
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Nightcore Nationalist
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2019, 07:32:42 AM »
2016 without Michigan, if Warren is the nominee.  Biden make's his path much harder- he will likely take PA and AZ.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2019, 02:32:02 PM »
He needs to win everything Romney won in 2012 which includes NC, Texas, and Arizona
Then he needs Florida, Iowa, Ohio, and Maine 2nd District
Then he only needs one of the major three: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, or Michigan
And then four more years!
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2019, 02:34:04 PM »
2016 - AZ - PA - NE-02.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2019, 03:03:29 PM »
From the easier to the harder one


NC + ME-2 + FL + NE-2 + WI + AZ
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2019, 03:04:37 PM »
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2019, 03:10:19 PM »
The map above me. Ideally, for him, he would get 1 of either Pennsylvania, Michigan New Hampshire, Maine, just something else for insurance if NE-02 decides to dump Trump.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2019, 03:27:25 PM »
I think he could hold his 2016 map against Warren. If Biden runs, it's going to be much harder.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2019, 04:34:52 PM »
He would need to concentrate on holding as many of the states that he barely won in 2016, as he will probably lose some of them (and maybe all of them).
In no way, should he try to expand the map, as this would be a waste of time and resources.
He is hated massively by many in the US, regardless of how the economy is doing.
(I think Biden can beat him. Warren ... I'm worried.)
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2019, 07:26:25 PM »
Expanding the map and wasting his resources in Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Virginia.

TRUMP CAMPAIGN, PLEASE READ THIS!
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