2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - Part 3  (Read 130432 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1575 on: October 18, 2018, 02:34:05 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 18, 2018, 02:08:39 PM
A Walters internal has her up 4, but doing worse than Cox in her district.



Walters was supposed to be the strongest Clinton-Republican Representative in California. She really underestimated Katie Porter’s strength.
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Politician
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« Reply #1576 on: October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2018, 02:57:01 PM by Virginiá »
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1577 on: October 18, 2018, 02:55:54 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2018, 02:57:06 PM by Virginiá »
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

It's Bagel. He's like tryhard LimoLiberal.
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Xing
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« Reply #1578 on: October 18, 2018, 03:04:28 PM »
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

Bagel thinks Republican internals are skewed 6-8 points to the Democrats.
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YE
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« Reply #1579 on: October 18, 2018, 03:06:44 PM »
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 18, 2018, 03:04:28 PM
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

Bagel thinks Republican internals are skewed 6-8 points to the Democrats.

Also what kind of rating is “Strong Lean R”?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1580 on: October 18, 2018, 03:22:32 PM »
Quote from: YE on October 18, 2018, 03:06:44 PM
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 18, 2018, 03:04:28 PM
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

Bagel thinks Republican internals are skewed 6-8 points to the Democrats.

Also what kind of rating is “Strong Lean R”?

It's between Weak Lean R and Weak Likely R.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1581 on: October 18, 2018, 03:37:38 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 18, 2018, 03:22:32 PM
Quote from: YE on October 18, 2018, 03:06:44 PM
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 18, 2018, 03:04:28 PM
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

Bagel thinks Republican internals are skewed 6-8 points to the Democrats.

Also what kind of rating is “Strong Lean R”?

It's between Weak Lean R and Weak Likely R.

Personally I'd rate it Tilt Safe R.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1582 on: October 18, 2018, 03:58:09 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 03:37:38 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 18, 2018, 03:22:32 PM
It's between Weak Lean R and Weak Likely R.

Personally I'd rate it Tilt Safe R.

Strong tilt Leans R with a slope towards Safe R but overall a Likely R rating with a modest D incline and mixed R pitch.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1583 on: October 18, 2018, 04:23:46 PM »
Seems to have been a real dearth of house generic ballot polls recently.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1584 on: October 18, 2018, 04:29:41 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on October 18, 2018, 04:23:46 PM
Seems to have been a real dearth of house generic ballot polls recently.

We got Fox yesterday, but otherwise yeah. I imagine most are going to wait until the last week before the election.
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Person Man
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« Reply #1585 on: October 18, 2018, 04:51:15 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 18, 2018, 03:37:38 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 18, 2018, 03:22:32 PM
Quote from: YE on October 18, 2018, 03:06:44 PM
Quote from: Reasonable™ Moderate Republican on October 18, 2018, 03:04:28 PM
Quote from: Politician on October 18, 2018, 02:53:56 PM
Quote from: Prolocutor Bagel23 on October 18, 2018, 02:33:43 PM


Always had this as Strong Lean R.
It's a Republican internal.

Bagel thinks Republican internals are skewed 6-8 points to the Democrats.

Also what kind of rating is “Strong Lean R”?

It's between Weak Lean R and Weak Likely R.

Personally I'd rate it Tilt Safe R.

Really depends on the oldish young upper lower middle class vote.
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Person Man
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« Reply #1586 on: October 18, 2018, 07:34:29 PM »
Apparently the Democrats are up 3, 47-44 in R+7 VA-05. Fun!
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1587 on: October 19, 2018, 09:44:35 AM »
Poll with Hurd up big in Texas 23rd. Should of been Laura Moser, stupid democrats.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #1588 on: October 19, 2018, 09:54:53 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on October 19, 2018, 09:44:35 AM
Poll with Hurd up big in Texas 23rd. Should of been Laura Moser, stupid democrats.
She ran in TX-7....
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1589 on: October 19, 2018, 09:55:05 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveCanadian on October 19, 2018, 09:44:35 AM
Poll with Hurd up big in Texas 23rd. Should of been Laura Moser, stupid democrats.

I guess they were so stupid, they forgot she was running in TX-7!
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SN2903
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« Reply #1590 on: October 19, 2018, 10:03:12 AM »
Go Lena! #redwave2018
 
https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/10/19/poll-races-mike-bishop-dave-trott/1693927002/
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DataGuy
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« Reply #1591 on: October 19, 2018, 10:09:26 AM »
Interesting, but shouldn't this be in the polling sub-board?
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1592 on: October 19, 2018, 10:21:24 AM »
Quote from: DataGuy on October 19, 2018, 10:09:26 AM
Interesting, but shouldn't this be in the polling sub-board?

He has issues, be kind with him
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1593 on: October 19, 2018, 10:24:00 AM »
Quote from: DataGuy on October 19, 2018, 10:09:26 AM
Interesting, but shouldn't this be in the polling sub-board?

The polling sub-board is for Senate polls, not House.  The right place would be the GCB and House Polls megathread (which is stickied at the top of this board).
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1594 on: October 19, 2018, 10:49:58 AM »
http://www.nydailynews.com/mc-nws-pa-7-muhlenberg-college-poll-nothstein-wild-silfies-20181017-story.html

PA-7 Muhlenberg: Wild (D) 48, Nothstein (R) 41
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1595 on: October 19, 2018, 10:51:23 AM »

Likely D
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1596 on: October 19, 2018, 10:54:05 AM »

Seriously glad our nominee wasnt Morganelli.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #1597 on: October 19, 2018, 10:57:36 AM »
MI-08

Bishop (R) 48
Slotkin (D) 45

https://mirsnews.com/images/TARGET_INSYGHT_Congressional_District_08_10_18_2018.pdf


MI-11

Epstein (R) 48
Stevens (D) 48

https://mirsnews.com/images/MI-11_TARGET_INSYGHT_Congressional_District_11_10_18_2018.pdf
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #1598 on: October 19, 2018, 10:57:37 AM »
Another one of those stupid AARP polls of age 50+ only... this time NJ-07. And it has a ridiculous # of undecideds.

Lance 38
Malinowski 35

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/lance-has-narrow-lead-among-voters-age-50-poll-says/


Junk poll, even if only on the basis of the undecideds! But probably bad for Lance if he is only barely winning age 50+ and can only get 38% (waaay under 50).
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1599 on: October 19, 2018, 11:29:41 AM »
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