The 150th Edition of College Football - Discussion and Pick 'Em Thread

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 0/1 FBS Matchups:

Saturday, August 24

Florida

Arizona

Thursday, August 29

UCLA

Clemson

Utah

Friday, August 30

Wisconsin

Rutgers

Colorado

Saturday, August 31

Illinois

Kansas 

Kentucky

Ole Miss

South Carolina

Alabama

Stanford

Virginia Tech

California

Georgia

Oregon

Virginia

USC

Sunday, September 1

Oklahoma

Monday, September 2

Notre Dame

FCS Week 0/1 Matchups:
(make sure to pick for both of these!)

Saturday, August 24

Youngstown State

Saturday, August 31

The Citadel

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Saturday, September 7th

Michigan

Syracuse

Virginia Tech

UAB

West Virginia

Purdue

Georgia Tech

Clemson

Nebraska

Illinois

UCLA

UCF

SMU

Tennessee

Kansas

Florida International

Texas

Arkansas

Miami (FL)

UNLV

Washington

Stanford

Hawai’i

FCS:

Elon

Chattanooga

[Pragmatic Conservative]

So Texas got got to the red zone went for it on 4th and goal only to have the ball go through a receivers hands. LSU than proceeds to throw an interception giving Texas the ball in the red zone again. Texas than failed to punch the ball in on all four tries.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

I didn't put FSU - UL Monroe on the pick em this week because I guess I figured they'd win that one handily.....but ummm

Heading to OT!!!

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 3 FBS/FCS matchups:

Friday, September 13

North Carolina

Boston College

Saturday, September 14

#6 Ohio State

#13 Penn State

Tennessee

Mississippi State

NC State

#21 Maryland

Colorado

Stanford

#24 USC

#18 Michigan State

#19 Iowa

California

Wyoming

Buffalo

Southern Mississippi

#9 Florida

SMU

#1 Clemson
 
Purdue

Florida State

Texas Tech

FCS:

Towson

Mercer

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 4 FBS/FCS matchups:

Friday, September 20th

#10 Utah

#20 Boise State

Saturday, September 21st

#11 Michigan

#23 California

Michigan State

#8 Auburn

#15 UCF

#22 Washington

#25 TCU
 
Florida State

North Carolina

Miami (FL)

Mississippi State

Missouri

West Virginia

#16 Oregon

#12 Texas

UTSA

#3 Georgia

Nebraska

#24 Arizona State

#19 Washington State

San Diego State

FCS:

Villanova

llinois State

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Old Dominion up on Virginia 10-0 currently.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 5 FBS/FCS matchups:

Friday, September 27th:

Arizona State

Saturday, September 28th:

#5 Oklahoma

#8 Wisconsin

#20 Michigan

#23 Texas A&M

TCU

Western Michigan

#1 Clemson

#2 Alabama

#18 Virginia

#17 Washington

#25 Michigan State

Wake Forest

Iowa State

Purdue

#7 Auburn

#24 Kansas State

Stanford

Florida State

South Carolina

#19 Utah

Arizona

Nevada

FCS:

Montana

Northern Iowa

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

Followed up by a TD and stupid two point convert call.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Amazing catch by the UNC receiver just short of the goal line.

Followed up by a TD and stupid two point convert call.

I like the two-point call there.  Let's say the PAT conversion rate is about 95% and the 2-point conversion rate is X.  Let's assume that if you go to OT, you have a 50% of winning (although against a much higher rated team, it could be assumed to be even less).

If you kick, you have a 95% x 50% = 47.5% chance of winning.  With a two-point conversion, you have an X chance of winning.  (This ignores the fact that in cases like this the other team has some time left to win, but that occurs in either case so I don't think it affects the overall calculation).

So if you think your chance of converting the 2-pointer (X) is greater than 47.5%, you should go for it.  I can't find stats for college football, but in the NFL the 2-point success rate is about 60%.

I was less meaning the decision to go for two than the play call they drew up was terrible.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

https://www.nj.com/rutgersfootball/2019/09/chris-ash-fired-as-rutgers-football-coach-nunzio-campanile-will-take-over.html

Rutgers fires Chris Ash

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Friday, October 4th

#18 UCF

New Mexico

Saturday, October 5th

#14 Iowa

Army

Maryland

TCU

South Florida

Boston College

Eastern Michigan

#7 Auburn

Kansas State

Western Michigan

Northern Illinois

Arkansas State

Air Force

Miami (FL)

Nebraska

Colorado

#4 Ohio State

Vanderbilt

#13 Oregon

Duke

Oregon State

FCS:

Furman

Northern Iowa

[Pragmatic Conservative]

The picks are mostly all within 7 points on the spread, quite the contrast from last week lol

Yes, a good slate this week.  Although Michigan State is a 20-point underdog; I wonder if that's a record for a ranked team.

No their have been several games between ranked teams with an over 20 point spread.
https://www.google.ca/amp/s/amp.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/9gfznw/what_is_the_largest_point_spread_between_two/

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 7 FBS/FCS matchups:

Friday, October 11th

#13 Oregon

Saturday, October 12th

#6 Oklahoma

#23 Memphis

#1 Alabama

#8 Wisconsin

#18 Arizona State

BYU

 Nevada

#22 Baylor

Iowa State

Middle Tennessee

 Coastal Carolina

North Texas

Air Force

Missouri

 #9 Notre Dame

#10 Penn State

#19 Wake Forest

Nebraska

 Kentucky

 #5 LSU

 #14 Boise State

 San Diego State

FCS:

James Madison

Yale

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 8 FBS/FCS matchups:

Friday, October 18th

Pittsburgh

Saturday, October 19th

#9 Florida

Iowa State

NC State

Toledo

Miami Ohio

Kansas State

#12 Oregon

#19 SMU

Indiana

Virginia

North Carolina

Southern Mississippi

#18 Baylor

 North Texas

 #13 Utah

 Washington State

Memphis

#7 Penn State

 Ole Miss

USC

Nevada

 Hawai’i

FCS:

 Sam Houston State

Montana

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Tua is out for the rest of the game against Tennessee with a leg injury.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 9 FBS/FCS matchups

Saturday, October 26th

#3 Ohio State

 Pittsburgh

Army

Texas A&M

Purdue

Wyoming

Marshall

#9 Auburn

#6 Penn State

#15 Texas

 #17 Minnesota

#23 Iowa State

 UMass

 Florida State

Virginia

Stanford

Nebraska

Navy

Eastern Michigan

Duke

Temple

#19 Michigan

Utah State

FCS:

North Dakota State

Sam Houston State

[Pragmatic Conservative]

OU cuts it to 48-41 (they trailed 48-23 at one point) with 1:45 left.

OU player touched the ball on an onside kick attempt half a yard short of the ball going ten yards nullifying a onside kick recovery. 

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Week 10 FBS/FCS matchups

Saturday, November 2nd

 #23 Wake Forest

Nebraska

Syracuse

Eastern Michigan

 #16 Notre Dame

Coastal Carolina

#8 Georgia

Florida State

#22 Kansas State

Oklahoma State

 Air Force

Middle Tennessee

#9 Utah

Florida Atlantic

Arizona

Tennessee

#15 SMU

North Carolina

#7 Oregon

 UCLA

BYU

#21 Boise State

Fresno State

FCS:

Northern Iowa

Weber State 

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Oregon State beat Arizona 56-38....did anyone pick them???

My laptop with the spreadsheet is asleep for the night, but I think one person did.

yeah Green Line did.

Cincinnati losing to ECU 40-28 last I checked....whelp

Cincinnati leads by 3 now. 

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Oregon State beat Arizona 56-38....did anyone pick them???

My laptop with the spreadsheet is asleep for the night, but I think one person did.

yeah Green Line did.

Cincinnati losing to ECU 40-28 last I checked....whelp

Cincinnati leads by 3 now. 

Cincinnati won on a last second field goal.