Will Gretchen Whitmer do better than 2018?
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  Will Gretchen Whitmer do better than 2018?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: 2018: 53.3-43.8 (D+9.5)
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Will Gretchen Whitmer do better than 2018?  (Read 634 times)
BenjiG98
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« on: October 03, 2022, 12:10:59 PM »
« edited: October 03, 2022, 03:26:46 PM by BenjiG98 »
Whitmer defeated Republican Bill Schuette in 2018 to become Governor of Michigan, by a 9.5% margin (53.3-43.8 ).

With a rough year for Republicans in the state and a less-than-ideal nominee in Tudor Dixon, does Whitmer outdo her 2018 margin, or will Dixon pull it closer?
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seskoog
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2022, 12:13:58 PM »
I’m leaning towards yes, but I think she’ll do about the same.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2022, 12:45:37 PM »
Looking like it's quite likely, yes.
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Galeel
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2022, 12:50:17 PM »
No, she will underperform polls by a few points but still win imo
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2022, 03:00:53 PM »
She’s favored, but not by THAT much. Hard no.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2022, 03:28:07 PM »
No, I expect something like +5–6.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2022, 04:45:07 PM »
I think it'll be tricky but not impossible. Her 2018 was pretty insane easily winning normally red counties like Bay and Isabella. No matter what, I expect the polarization from 2018 to increase a little bit making a 10+ point win a lot trickier, even if Dixon is terrible. I expect Whitmer + 5 or so (and also Shapiro + 2-3)
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2022, 05:09:00 PM »
After watching this ad, I don't know how anyone can say she won't.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2022, 05:16:27 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 03, 2022, 05:09:00 PM
After watching this ad, I don't know how anyone can say she won't.


This ad feels like it's "preaching to the choir". Not a terrible thing, mind you, because you need to pump R turnout. But it's emblematic of an unhealthy approach that ignores swing voters.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2022, 05:17:16 PM »
Quote from: Alben Barkley on October 03, 2022, 05:09:00 PM
After watching this ad, I don't know how anyone can say she won't.


Dixon hasn't even ran any TV ads...and now she's promoting this, haha.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2022, 05:48:28 PM »
While I think it's possible, in the end I think she comes just shy of her 2018 result.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #11 on: October 03, 2022, 10:15:01 PM »
No. I think she is going to win by around mid single digits.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2022, 12:51:37 PM »
Dixon is just as bad as Mastriano
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