OH-2 Special Election Coverage and Prediction thread...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

55/45 to Schmidt

[Filuwaúrdjan]

$30,000 to help with GOTV efforts... We delivered $40,000+.

There's too much money in US Politics right now... what are the total fundraising figures for both candidates?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyone know what turnout is like?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Suprising result really; much closer than I'd guessed likely.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

They both won elections in very Republican districts

Not really; Chandler's district is the key swing area in KY politics

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True. Small town somewhat industrial (usually post-industrial) areas have had a very bad few years, especially in Ohio. Which makes Kerry's utter failure in them all the more irritating.

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If it was the old 18th he'd be toast already. It isn't (and was more-or-less drawn for him) but with a good candidate he might be in trouble.
Bearing in mind the economic situation in the 18th I don't think that his constituents are especially pleased with some of the stuff he's been getting up to...

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Especially LaTourette; he should have been vunerable in 2004 (he can stand in the shadow of a corkscrew) but the Democrats managed to pick a candidate with even more "ethics issues" than him... 

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He could always try OH-1

[Filuwaúrdjan]

True...as you've emphasized those areas of KY used to go for populist Democrats...  however, Chandler's margin was rather significant and he did receive some fundraising help from blogs, though, of course, he didn't exactly start as a nobody like Hackett...

True. It's probable that the extra money he got contributed to the size of his win (which *was* pretty suprising).

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There's a load of marginal districts along that stretch of the Ohio Valley isn't there?

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You mean NC-11?

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Both could get interesting... CO-4 more than NE-1

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Don't know. Hmm...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Pike has (last time I checked) a big nuclear power station