Orser67
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,946
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« on: December 03, 2018, 01:14:35 PM » |
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I feel pretty good about PA for Democrats. The suburban Philly counties have had a pretty strong reaction against Trump in the last couple of years, and I think Montgomery, Chester, and Bucks county (and possibly Delaware County) will all probably vote more Democratic in 2016. There's room to grow in Philadelphia, too.
I also expect some bounceback towards Democrats outside of the Philly and Pittsburgh metro areas. For example, Obama won 63% in Lackawanna County (home to Scranton) in 2012, whereas Clinton won just 50%. Another one is Luzerne; Obama won 52% in 2012, while Clinton won just 39%. I don't think the Democrat will be winning by Obama margins, and in the long term these will probably be GOP areas, but I think Democrats have a strong chance of improving there if they nominate the right candidate.
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