Bellweather counties for House seats, ACC/SEC

[rob in cal]

We now head south of the Mason Dixon line.

Maryland 1, 49-48
Baltimore, medium 41-57
Cecil, medium, 50-47
Harford, medium 41-56
Queen Anne, medium 54-44

Virginia 5, 50-50
Lunenberg, small, 50-50
Albermarle, medium 63-37
Campbell, medium 36-64
Charlottsville, medium 81-19

Virginia 9, 68-32 in 2006
Bland, small 68-32
Montgomery medium 71-29

West Virginia 1, 64-36 in 2006
Hancock, small 63-37
Wood, medium 59-41
Ohio, small 65-35

Kentucky 6, 65-35
Anderson, small 65-35
Clark, small 64-36
Fayette, big, 65-35
Madison, medium 61-39

North Carolina 2 67-31
Cumberland, medium 80-19
Harnett, medium 62-36
Johnston, medium 57-41
Wake, medium 78-20

North Carolina 7, 69-31
New Hanover, big 66-34
Robeson, medium 86-14

North Carolina 11, 62-36
Buncombe, big 64-35
Haywood, medium 71-28
Henderson, medium 54-44
Yancey, small, 62-37

South Carolina 5, 62-37
Darlington, medium 62-37
Lancaster, medium 61-38
York, big 55-43

Georgia 8, 57-43
Bibb, big, 70-30
Houston, medium 51-49
Laurens, medium 59-41
Pulaski, small 57-43
Jones, small 57-43

Florida 2, 62-38
Bay, big 47-53
Gadsden, small 81-19
Gulf, small 63-37
Leon, big, 71-29
Okaloosa, small 23-77
Wakulla, small 66-34

Alabama 2, 50-50
Autauga, medium 41-59
Coffee, medium 41-59
Crenshaw, small 52-48
Henry, small, 49-51
Montgomery, big 65-35

Tenn 4, 59-38
Campbell, small 60-36
Cumberland, medium 52-48
Maury, medium, 56-40
Roane, medium 62-34
Sequatchie, small 60-37

Mississippi 1, 54-44
Lee, medium 56-42
Desoto, medium to big, 35-63
Lowndes, medium 56-43
Pontotoc, small 53-46

Mississippi 4, 75-25
Harrison, medium 82-18
Jackson, medium 77-23
Jones, medium 69-31

Arkansas 1, 69-31, 2006
Craighead, medium 69-31
Izard, small, 69-31
Randolph, small 72-28

Arkansas 2, 61-39
Faulkner, medium 54-46
Pulaski, big 67-33
Saline, medium 48-52
White, medium 51-49

Didn't do the other Florida seats because they are just a few big counties.  I'm guessing we will see some massive shifts in some of these seats.  All counties that were right on the money for the district I included, unless there were several, in which case I listed the biggest.
I didn't think I would, but now might do a New England, upstate New York, group, and a West/Midwest one as well.  Most western seats won't have many counties though.

[Sbane]

Don't know when you will be getting to the PAC 10, but Contra Costa county is a good bellweather for CA-11.

[rob in cal]

We will start off our tour in Texas,

Texas 17 53-45
Bosque, small 52-47
Brazos, medium 54-44
Burleson, tiny 53-46
Hood, medium 38-60
Mclennan, medium 60-39

Texas 23, 56-42
Bexar, big, 52-45
Brewster, small, 55-41
Uvale, small, 56-42

New Mexico 2 56-44
Dona Ana, medium 61-39
Valencia, small, 58-42
Lea, medium, 50-50

Arizona 1, 56-40
Coconino, medium 65-30
Gila, medium 52-43
Navajo, medium 57-40
Yavapai, big 47-48

Arizona 5 and 8 are mostly in one or two big counties.

California 11, 55-45, home to brother and sister in law, and mother and father in law,
Contra Costa, medium 56-44
San Joaquin, big 52-48 

Oregon 5, 55-39
Clackamas, big, 56-38
Marion, big 51-42
Tillamook, small, 55-38

Wash 3, 64-36
Clark, big 61-39
Cowlitz, medium 67-33

Idaho 1, 51-49
Ada, big 52-48
Benewah, small 52-48

Iowa 3, 56-42
Polk, big 57-41
Benton, small, 57-41
Iowa, small, 55-43

Iowa 1, 65-35
Dubuque, medium 68-32
Black Hawk, medium 68-32
Clayton, small, 66-34
Scott, medium, 60-40

Iowa 2, 57-39
Johnson, medium 65-30
Linn, big, 59-38
Lee, small 59-36
Des Moines, medium 61-36

Missouri 4, 66-34
Camden, medium 56-44
Cole, medium 69-31
Morgan, small, 65-35
Ray, small, 68-32

[rob in cal]

I'm going to skip the rest of New England, as counting is by towns, and there are just too many off them.

New York 19, 59-41
Orange, big 59-41
Rockland, small 58-42

NY 20, 62-38
Dutchess, medium 60-40
Saratoga, medium 62-38
Rensselear, medium 63-37

NY 22, 66-34
Broome, medium 59-41
Orange, medium 66-34
Sullivan, medium 68-32
Ulster, big 70-30

NY 24, 52-48
Chenango, medium 51-49
Oneida, big, 51-49
Otsego, small, 53-47
Seneca, small, 51-49

Conn 4, 51-48
Bridgeport, medium 80-20
Norwalk, medium 59-40
Stamford, medium 57-42
Fairfield, medium, 46-53
Greenwich, medium 43-56

Conn 5, 59-39
Danbury, medium, 55-45
Farmington, small, 60-38
Plymouth, small, 57-40
Simsbury, small, 58-40