2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Holmes]

Will we have the final results of the Alaska special on the 30th or 31st?

[Holmes]

InsiderAdvantage (R) has D+1, 45-44.

Their last poll had R+1, 45-44 at the beginning of August.

https://amgreatness.com/2022/09/06/joe-bidens-approval-rating-surges-to-45-percent-in-new-insider-advantage-poll/

Oh they were mad about these results.

[Holmes]

We need to get women to start Googling abortion again. The Democrats’ chances in the House depend on it.

[Holmes]

Whoever gave my that advice putting Olowakandi on IGNORE - many thanks from me

No worries, I’m (we’re?) glad it helped.

[Holmes]

Cook moves PA-SEN back to toss-up.

Same day that Suffolk has Fetterman +6/7 with Oz nearly -20 in favorability and at 40%.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/pennsylvania-senate/pennsylvania-senate-moves-back-toss

I get there is a tiny bit of uncertainty about this race depending on how you look at it - but I'm not sure how can actually say it's a tossup when Oz has never led a single poll (the lowest it has been is Fetterman +2) and he has struggled to top 40-44% in nearly 90% of the polling.

Muh horserace

[Holmes]

Oh now the usual suspects believe the polls, lol.

[Holmes]

Oh now the usual suspects believe the polls, lol.

Dont believe in polls, believe in fundamentals.  They’ve all been pointing in the same direction the entire year.

I mean, you can also look at special election results that occurred when the CGB was even worse for Dems, what does that tell you?