TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,468
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« on: April 22, 2021, 12:24:04 PM » |
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As I've said elsewhere, most of Trump's gains among Latinos came not from converting previously Democratic voters, but rather from turning out people who didn't vote before. This is especially evident if you compare raw vote totals in southern FL & TX in the 2016 and 2020 elections, where Trump's 2020 raw vote totals far exceeded his 2016 raw vote totals but Biden's 2020 raw vote totals didn't change by that much from Clinton's 2016 raw vote totals. For example, in Miami-Dade County, Trump gained nearly 199K votes from 2016 to 2020, while Biden lost only about 6K votes compared to Clinton - it's clear that most of this difference came from new voters rather than converting previously Democratic voters.
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