Predict WI-GOV 2022 margins

[Suburbia]

If incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) runs, or if Mike Gallagher, Sean Duffy, Chris Kapenga, David Clarke run against Gov. Tony Evers?

[SnowLabrador]

My guess is Evers loses by 2-3 points.

[Xing]

I'll guess that Evers does about 3 points better than the Democratic Senate candidate. Hard to tell if that will be enough for him to win. For now, I'll guess he loses by less than 1%, but this race is a Pure Toss-Up.

[Frenchrepublican]

Hard to tell for now, my guess is that Evers will lose by 2 points but it's easy to see a scenario where he survives

[libertpaulian]

Tossup.  I expect Evers to narrowly survive, but I will be neither surprised nor shocked if he loses, either.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kleefisch will be the nominee, and she'll beat Evers by 2-3.
Johnson isn't running for governor. Gallagher and Duffy will both run to replace him.
David Clarke won't run for anything, but if he does, lol.

You do realize that Biden will campaign for D's and WI is a purple state and Rob Johnson is the most vulnerable INCUMBENT up, the Ds are favored to replicate the 306 blue wall and add NC and other states in a wave in 20 mnths as my ratings gave it


Biden is on Act blue promoting all D candidates

[Hope For A New Era]

Less than 2pts in either direction.

[walleye26]

Probably about 2 points either way, as of now, but Sean Duffy, David Clarke,  and Chris Kapenga are really unlikely to run. If Steil or Gallagher run, it’s probably Tilt R, but they might try for Senate.

[Frenchrepublican]

Probably about 2 points either way, as of now, but Sean Duffy, David Clarke,  and Chris Kapenga are really unlikely to run. If Steil or Gallagher run, it’s probably Tilt R, but they might try for Senate.

Priebus has showed some interest about the race, he could be a very strong candidate

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

This map

[sting in the rafters]

D+1.1. Evers has it as long as the Dem base is energized.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm not going to guess a margin at this point, but I will say I think Evers will do better in MKE while doing worse in the driftless and northern portions of the state.

D+1.1. Evers has it as long as the Dem base is energized.

CNN and MSNBC's numbers have tanked, and Democrats have proudly louded that Joe Biden is a president that allows people to "relax" again*. Good luck.

*Once again, this cringey and weird take is something only the super-engaged types of Dems would understand and agree with

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

I'm not going to guess a margin at this point, but I will say I think Evers will do better in MKE while doing worse in the driftless and northern portions of the state.

D+1.1. Evers has it as long as the Dem base is energized.

CNN and MSNBC's numbers have tanked, and Democrats have proudly louded that Joe Biden is a president that allows people to "relax" again*. Good luck.

*Once again, this cringey and weird take is something only the super-engaged types of Dems would understand and agree with

How well exactly is Fox doing in comparison ?

[sting in the rafters]

I'm not going to guess a margin at this point, but I will say I think Evers will do better in MKE while doing worse in the driftless and northern portions of the state.

D+1.1. Evers has it as long as the Dem base is energized.

CNN and MSNBC's numbers have tanked, and Democrats have proudly louded that Joe Biden is a president that allows people to "relax" again*. Good luck.

*Once again, this cringey and weird take is something only the super-engaged types of Dems would understand and agree with

For sure, the flip side to "Ds win if their base shows up" is that the Rs are obviously gonna have the enthusiasm gap in an midterm year. Either way whoever wins WI is gonna have a razor-thin margin.

[Meatball Ron]

Probably about 2 points either way, as of now, but Sean Duffy, David Clarke,  and Chris Kapenga are really unlikely to run. If Steil or Gallagher run, it’s probably Tilt R, but they might try for Senate.

Priebus has showed some interest about the race, he could be a very strong candidate

Priebus would be a horrible candidate. His longstanding establishment ties would make him unappealing to the Trumpers; his time in the Trump White House and general deplorableness would make him unappealing to the suburban legacy Republicans. If I'm Evers he'd be one of my first choice opponents.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Evers will win just like Jim Doyle did in 2006 and so will Tom Nelson after the silly comments made by JOHNSON

[Canis]

This map

[Biden 2024]

Evers wins by 3% or so.

[ElectionsGuy]

I'm not going to guess a margin at this point, but I will say I think Evers will do better in MKE while doing worse in the driftless and northern portions of the state.

D+1.1. Evers has it as long as the Dem base is energized.

CNN and MSNBC's numbers have tanked, and Democrats have proudly louded that Joe Biden is a president that allows people to "relax" again*. Good luck.

*Once again, this cringey and weird take is something only the super-engaged types of Dems would understand and agree with

How well exactly is Fox doing in comparison ?

Fox has declined also, but not as bad as the other two. CNN has been hit with the worst decline, while Fox got hit badly in their post-election pre-Biden period.