Is 8% unemployment the only reason Romney is ahead in some polls?

[milhouse24]

Except for one month, is over 8% unemployment the primary reason Romney is beating Obama according to some polls? 

Will the dip below 8% for one month be enough to help Obama win the election?   

[old timey villain]

Well Romney has done better this month, even though unemployment is the lowest its been in like 43 months or so. By that logic, if unemployment spikes up next month then so will Obama's poll numbers.

I think for most, the difference between 8.0 and 7.8 is splitting hairs.

[milhouse24]

In some ways, the possibility of Obama losing and Romney winning has decreased unemployment.  Perhaps companies want a Romney victory. 

Its odd that the falling unemployment rate helped Romney rather than Obama. 

But more likely, most Americans were fed up with Obama and looking for a change, and the falling unemployment rate was just too little too late. 

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

It's part of the reason, yes. Incumbent's hardly ever lose if the economy/unemployment numbers are strong while they're running for reelection. If they were for Obama we would be looking at a 1996 type election.

[anvi]

It's part of the reason, yes. Incumbent's hardly ever lose if the economy/unemployment numbers are strong while they're running for reelection. If they were for Obama we would be looking at a 1996 type election.

Duke is right.  As usual.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The fascist Citizens United ruling is the main reason Romney is doing as well as he is. But Occupy (even though it hasn't endorsed Obama) erases much of that advantage, so Romney is still going to lose.

[Paul Kemp]

Yea that and the fact that it seems like the Obama campaign has been trying to lost the last month.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

The fascist Citizens United ruling is the main reason Romney is doing as well as he is. But Occupy (even though it hasn't endorsed Obama) erases much of that advantage, so Romney is still going to lose.

See, it's not only conservatives who are disconnected from reality.

In some ways, the possibility of Obama losing and Romney winning has decreased unemployment.  Perhaps companies want a Romney victory. 

Its odd that the falling unemployment rate helped Romney rather than Obama. 

But more likely, most Americans were fed up with Obama and looking for a change, and the falling unemployment rate was just too little too late. 

If you look at the 538 forecast, Romney's best chance at winning was in June. At that point, the unemployment rate was increasing.