2020 Poll Hype Thread (user search)
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  2020 Poll Hype Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 192560 times)
philly09
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« on: September 26, 2020, 10:43:59 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2020, 05:58:00 PM »


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philly09
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2020, 05:57:46 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2020, 06:13:37 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 28, 2020, 06:12:00 AM
Quote from: philly09 on October 28, 2020, 05:57:46 AM


I could be totally wrong, but I feel like these polls with Biden "struggling" with nonwhites are off. Trump could do maybe a few % better with Latinos, but there are just as many polls showing Trump doing just as bad as 2016 with nonwhites, so I feel like this narrative may collapse come election day.

They need to define "Hispanic". Cuban? Venezuelan? Puerto Rican?
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philly09
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2020, 10:10:33 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 12:35:48 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 03:54:31 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM »


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philly09
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 08:51:21 PM »
Why would it be a problem if they showed a 15 point Biden lead?
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philly09
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 08:52:56 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 09:24:32 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2020, 09:28:53 PM by philly09 »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on November 01, 2020, 09:20:29 PM
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?


They had Biden +14 in the last poll. Likely have the same margin. Don't want to be wrong if they publish and Trump overperforms.


Even if Trump over performs by 4-5-6, that still gives Biden a 8-9-10 lead.
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philly09
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 11:12:58 PM »
Final House polls tomorrow.
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philly09
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 02:27:48 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 05:24:08 PM »
Here's the full Jen O'Malley Dillon video from today.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j03BNEV_cuI
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philly09
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 07:40:34 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 10:04:03 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on November 02, 2020, 09:58:26 PM
Looks like those are the last Data for Progress polls? No Maine or Montana are ominous signs (though they did release bad KS and SC polls so who knows).

Spoke too soon. Trump by 5.
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philly09
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 10:41:17 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 10:44:36 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 10:47:30 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 11:18:18 PM »
Charlie Cook basically called the election for Biden on MSNBC.
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philly09
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 04:45:43 AM »
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philly09
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 07:01:54 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 03, 2020, 06:58:49 AM
ABC/Wapo are total cowards. There's no way they didn't commission a final poll.

Why would they hide it? Bad Biden numbers, or too good to be true Biden numbers.
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