If it's a slew of establishment candidates splitting one part of the vote and a slew of tea partiers splitting the other half, then no. However, if we see 1-3 candidate(s) rise above the rest of the field, and a desire by enough of the party to find the alternative to those candidate(s), then we will again see the 'flavor of the month' sequence.
As far as I can remember, 2012's 'flavor of the month' sequence was something like this:
Huckabee
Pawlenty
Bachmann
Perry
Cain
Gingrich
Santorum
Gingrich (again)
Santorum (again)
Pawlenty was never flavor of the month. Why do Pawlenty people insist on lying so much?
He was in May of 2011, until his "Obamneycare" comment.
