Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading
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  Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Internal pollster in Michigan: none of my polls have found Biden leading  (Read 747 times)
CookieDamage
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« Reply #25 on: May 02, 2024, 05:29:22 PM »
How is it an internal if an INDEPENDENT rando is doing them?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #26 on: May 02, 2024, 05:29:32 PM »
Quote from: xavier110 on May 02, 2024, 05:22:36 PM
Quote from: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 02, 2024, 03:52:02 PM
"conducts surveys for business and civic groups"...aka not a political pollster.

He’s not a random pollster. He, as MN Mike said, does polls for Detroit News.

He had Whitmer and the Ds thumping GOP in 2022, so this is interesting, IMO.
How many Detroit News polls have there been though? Because there have been polls showing Biden up, including rather recent ones. Not saying he's a bad pollster, but if the sample size is like three that's not the end all.
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cg41386
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« Reply #27 on: May 03, 2024, 07:10:12 AM »
Quote from: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 02, 2024, 05:29:32 PM
Quote from: xavier110 on May 02, 2024, 05:22:36 PM
Quote from: I spent the winter writing songs about getting better on May 02, 2024, 03:52:02 PM
"conducts surveys for business and civic groups"...aka not a political pollster.

He’s not a random pollster. He, as MN Mike said, does polls for Detroit News.

He had Whitmer and the Ds thumping GOP in 2022, so this is interesting, IMO.
How many Detroit News polls have there been though? Because there have been polls showing Biden up, including rather recent ones. Not saying he's a bad pollster, but if the sample size is like three that's not the end all.

I think there was one showing a big Trump lead earlier in the year.
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2016
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« Reply #28 on: May 03, 2024, 01:43:36 PM »
Michigan was a State where Pollsters massivly overestimated Biden & underestimated Trumps Support in 2020. 538 had Biden up an Average of 6 Points or more heading into E-Day.

Biden ended up winning it by 2.8 Percentage Points.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/michigan/president

If Biden is TIED with Trump in MI heading into E-Day he is going to lose I think. Biden needs a 5-6 Point lead there to pull this off.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #29 on: May 03, 2024, 02:03:15 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on May 03, 2024, 01:43:36 PM
Michigan was a State where Pollsters massivly overestimated Biden & underestimated Trumps Support in 2020. 538 had Biden up an Average of 6 Points or more heading into E-Day.

Biden ended up winning it by 2.8 Percentage Points.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/michigan/president

If Biden is TIED with Trump in MI heading into E-Day he is going to lose I think. Biden needs a 5-6 Point lead there to pull this off.

How much does Biden need to lead to win WI or PA?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #30 on: May 03, 2024, 02:28:23 PM »
Zogby 48/45 Biden MI, MC Biden leads
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