UK General Discussion: 2019. Blackadder goes Brexit.

[Former President tack50]

No Deal Brexit has the support of around 30% of the electorate. If that.

To be fair 30% of the vote is enough to win a General election if the remaining 70% is split badly.

[Former President tack50]

Looks like the midget in the speaker's chair would rather retire to the shire than risk losing his seat in the election

The speaker's seat generally goes uncontested, at least by the major parties. I guess the Brexit party would contest it, but there's no way Bercow would have lost his seat if he went for reelection

Also, fun fact: Buckingham voted remain. Not by a particularly large margin (48% Leave), but voted remain nontheless.

[Former President tack50]

Looks like the midget in the speaker's chair would rather retire to the shire than risk losing his seat in the election

The speaker's seat generally goes uncontested, at least by the major parties. I guess the Brexit party would contest it, but there's no way Bercow would have lost his seat if he went for reelection

Also, fun fact: Buckingham voted remain. Not by a particularly large margin (48% Leave), but voted remain nontheless.

The Tories announced that they would challenge him for breaking his neutrality. His seat is a remain marginal but it is ancestrally Tory

Even so, it's easy to see Bercow holding on to the seat running as speaker. It's an ancestrally Tory seat, but they would lose a bit of their vote to the Brexit party, while the opposition would be unified (no remain party would contest it; not Labour, not the LDs, not the Greens).

It would be close, but I imagine Bercow wins with a percentage in the 40s. Of course, with Bercow out it's now safe Tory.

[Former President tack50]

Can any EU country veto a brexit extension?

Yes, a veto would only require one of the EU27 countries as the agreement to extend must be unanimous. But no country in their right mind would do so, however, as it wouldn't be in their interests.

For what's worth Macron has sometimes threatened to veto an extension, but I seriously doubt he would actually do so if it really comes down to it.