Over: California and Vermont
Under: Utah and Idaho
Yes, I might just manage to lose Utah. 
You know where other than Cali where I think I would really over-perform for a centrist, secular, WASP, Pubbie? New York! Yes, New York. I think I would over-perform hugely with Jews (think of me as the un-Libertas on this one) and Italians (we are sympatico baby), not to mention of course, gays, whom I would carry. Write that down. 
And of course New Hampshire, probably the closest state to me ideologically really.
I am not green enough to kick ass in the Green Mountain state, I don't think.
skip me.
He probably meant you were not going to do as well as was predicted, not that you'd loose the state I think.
