2006 Dutch election

[Angel of Death]

Here are two other polls:

TNS NIPO's weekly poll of November 20th (in seats only):

CDA   41
PvdA   31
VVD   21
SP   32
GroenLinks   5
LVF   0
D66   1
ChristenUnie   8
SGP   3
PVV   6
Eén NL   0
PvdD   2
PvNL   0

http://www.tns-nipo.com/sub_ext.asp?c003&file=persvannipo\rtl_stemming_wk4706.htm

That's right. It shows SP to be larger than PvdA.

Peil.nl's poll of November 21st:

CDA   26.8%   42 seats
PvdA   24.2%   38 seats
VVD   14.0%   22 seats
SP   15.0%   23 seats
Fortuyn   0.5%   0 seats
GroenLinks   5.3%   8 seats
D66   1.9%   2 seats
ChristenUnie   4.3%   6 seats
SGP   1.5%   2 seats
PvdDieren   1.1%   1 seat
Een.NL   1.2%   1 seat
PvdVrijheid   3.3%   5 seats
Other   0.9%   0 seats

http://www.peil.nl/?2168

This one at least mostly agrees with that of Interview/NSS (the poll in the previous post).

Now let's hope those f**kers pay for Iraq.

[Angel of Death]

For one thing, the polls have done poorly this time:

Interview/NSS: 16 seats off
Peil.nl: 17 seats off
TNS NIPO: 20 seats off

[Angel of Death]

There's no need to lecture me on the workings of the Dutch election system. My justification for classifying these polls as poor was because in the last national election Interview/NSS was only six seats off.

[Angel of Death]

Final results

[Angel of Death]

If instead Sainte-Laguë was used, CDA and PvdA would both have lost a seat in favor of PvvD and EénNL, the latter who is now not represented in Parliament at all.

[Angel of Death]

If I also take into account the two list combinations, it wouldn't have made a difference. Of course using Sainte-Laguë, these things can backfire and would probably not exist then.

[Angel of Death]

I think it would make sense now to just keep using this thread for the provincial elections of March 7 as well (which indirectly determine the makeup of the Senate).

[Angel of Death]

List Pim Fortuyn

A bit late to the party, are we? After the Senate will be formally elected, they will be down to a mere 10 municipality council members.