2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Wisconsin  (Read 42202 times)
TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« on: October 13, 2021, 05:33:18 AM »

If Dems had any bargaining power here (they don’t) they would be smart to try to make WI-1 closer while triaging WI-3.

Uh, the governor is a Democrat, and the WISC is fairly moderate. Anyways it's pretty easy to make WI-1 closer and WI-3 winnable, the two goals aren't really mutually exclusive

Technically the Wisconsin supreme court is fairly batsh**t partisan besides Hagedorn.
https://www.npr.org/2012/05/11/152520957/wis-justices-deadlocked-over-chokehold-allegation#:~:text=Justices%20on%20the%20Wisconsin%20Supreme%20Court%20are%20deadlocked,chokehold%20during%20an%20argument%20over%20a%20controversial%20ruling.
Quote
GILMAN HALSTED, BYLINE: What exactly happened in Justice Anne Walsh Bradley's office last year on June 13th depends on which of the six justices who were present you talk to. Justice Bradley and two of her colleagues say Justice David Prosser put his hands around Bradley's neck in a chokehold. Prosser and the other three justices on the court say Prosser was just defending himself when Bradley rushed at him with her fist in the air. Leading up to the incident, tensions in the Capitol building had been high for months.

Basically what happens when you put a bunch of Dane party activists against WOW party activists.

Yes, it's like 3 Alito's, 3 Sotomayor's and then 1 Roberts deciding everything 4/3.  Pretty wild. 

I don't think Hagedorn is ruling like Roberts for the sake of the opinion of the court or whatever though. I think he just rules how he wants to. He clearly doesn't care about how many liberal cocktail parties he gets invited to.

If anything Hagedorn got uninvited to both sides' cocktail parties, got unpersoned, and then unexpectedly won and suddenly ended up holding the balance of power. Tis one of the more amusing ironies of politics these days.

That being said, the WI conservatives are, for the most part happy to have him, the question is whether he wants to go. Hagedorn is simply his own man.
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2021, 09:04:06 PM »

Interestingly, virtually all of the population changes needed from the current districts are accounted by WI-2 needing to lose 51k people and WI-4 needing to gain 41k. None of the other seats need appreciable population changes (the next highest is WI-8 which needs to lose 15k).
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TJ in Oregon
TJ in Cleve
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,948
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 6.96

« Reply #2 on: December 16, 2021, 01:56:10 AM »

Wisconsin is 100% the worst state geographically for democrats
No, that would be Missouri.

Eh, there's a chance both of them will end up with 6-2 R maps with about the same amount of erosity, despite one of them voting Biden by less than a point and the other voting Trump by 15.
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