State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread  (Read 177367 times)
ajc0918
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« Reply #525 on: October 10, 2017, 04:49:46 PM »

As a reminder, in the last florida special two weeks ago, the Republican candidate won the first wave of the early vote by high single digits, and continued to lead in the overall tally until the election day votes started coming in. Don't panic until it's actually justified to do so.

The chances of a democratic pick up are minimal. I would be surprised if this race was even within 10 points.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #526 on: October 10, 2017, 06:04:29 PM »

Entirely early vote:

State Representative, District 44
Special Election
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Robert "Bobby O" Olszewski   REP   4,800   
59.8%
Eduardo "Eddy" Dominguez   DEM   3,227   
40.2%
8,027   Total
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Ebsy
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« Reply #527 on: October 10, 2017, 06:08:50 PM »

Dominguez will need to make up the difference with vote by mail and election day votes.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #528 on: October 10, 2017, 06:11:47 PM »

Now 6,920 to 5,506 in favor of the Republican.

Edit: I think that might be it?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #529 on: October 10, 2017, 06:13:53 PM »

Certainly the fastest we've ever gotten to 100% reporting.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #530 on: October 10, 2017, 06:16:41 PM »

This appears to be it. Congrats to Republicans:

State Representative, District 44
Special Election
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Robert "Bobby O" Olszewski   REP   6,936   
55.66%
Eduardo "Eddy" Dominguez   DEM   5,525   
44.34%
12,461   Total
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Ebsy
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« Reply #531 on: October 10, 2017, 06:18:42 PM »

A predictable disappointment, but a disappointment nonetheless.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #532 on: October 10, 2017, 06:19:04 PM »

That was fast, not great, but at least we did not totally vike it up.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #533 on: October 10, 2017, 06:22:19 PM »


Breakdown by vote type. Note that Dominguez won the election day vote.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #534 on: October 10, 2017, 06:29:02 PM »

Some early vote still out, election day is counted:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,952   
45.1%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,594   
54.9%
6,546   Total


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Ebsy
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« Reply #535 on: October 10, 2017, 06:31:16 PM »

For a preview of what is coming up, on October 14 there will be two Louisiana State House of Representatives specials in the Democratic held 58th and Republican held 77. Both are safe seats.

Next Tuesday, October 17, there will be a special election in the Massachusetts State Senate Bristol and Norfolk District. This is a safe Democratic district.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #536 on: October 10, 2017, 07:50:50 PM »

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #537 on: October 10, 2017, 08:23:01 PM »

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total

Single digit win is not a good sign for Republicans in this district (based on what I read from others earlier), right?
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Kamala
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« Reply #538 on: October 10, 2017, 08:24:51 PM »

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total

Single digit win is not a good sign for Republicans in this district (based on what I read from others earlier), right?

This is a Republican primary.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #539 on: October 10, 2017, 08:27:26 PM »

Everything is in. Congratulations to McClure.:

State Representative, District 58
Republican Primary
Compare All Counties
Compare by County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Yvonne Fry   REP   2,984   
45.11%
Lawrence McClure   REP   3,631   
54.89%
6,615   Total

Single digit win is not a good sign for Republicans in this district (based on what I read from others earlier), right?

This is a Republican primary.

Woops, I thought it was the other one. Tongue
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #540 on: October 14, 2017, 08:22:16 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2017, 08:26:57 AM by Dwarven Dragon »

Today is the election in Louisiana! Results can be found at https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/Graphical . Polls close at 9 PM ET.

Reminder: If no one receives 50% in a given race, the top two candidates will have a runoff on November 18th.
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Holmes
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« Reply #541 on: October 14, 2017, 10:09:41 AM »

I like how Louisiana has elections on Saturdays.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #542 on: October 14, 2017, 03:33:27 PM »

I like how Louisiana has elections on Saturdays.

Me too, it's a good idea!
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #543 on: October 14, 2017, 04:57:41 PM »

Will there be a results page with a map?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #544 on: October 14, 2017, 05:46:15 PM »

Will there be a results page with a map?

See the "Parish" tab at the link I posted above.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #545 on: October 14, 2017, 08:08:27 PM »

Just some early tea leaves:

State Representative -- 58th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
0 of 47 precincts reporting - 0%
absentee reporting - 2 of 3 parishes
458 Miguel D. Aubert (DEM)24%
1160 "Ken" Brass (DEM)61%
96 Adrienne Ricard Conish (DEM)5%
198 Alsie Dunbar (DEM)10%
Total: 1912
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #546 on: October 14, 2017, 08:29:39 PM »

All of the early vote is in for both races. No election day vote has been counted.

State Representative -- 58th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
0 of 47 precincts reporting - 0%
absentee reporting - 100%
471 Miguel D. Aubert (DEM)24%
1199 "Ken" Brass (DEM)60%
101 Adrienne Ricard Conish (DEM)5%
221 Alsie Dunbar (DEM)11%
Total: 1992

State Representative -- 77th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
0 of 31 precincts reporting - 0%
absentee reporting - 100%
758 Lisa Condrey Ward (NOPTY)27%
945 "Rob" Maness (REP)33%
408 Casey Revere (REP)14%
733 Mark Wright (REP)26%
Total: 2844
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #547 on: October 14, 2017, 08:46:05 PM »

State Representative -- 58th Representative District
16 of 47 precincts reporting - 34%
absentee reporting - 100%
816 Miguel D. Aubert (DEM)23%
1968 "Ken" Brass (DEM)55% WILL FINISH FIRST
216 Adrienne Ricard Conish (DEM)6%
556 Alsie Dunbar (DEM)16%
Total: 3556

Still unclear if a runoff will be needed.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #548 on: October 14, 2017, 08:51:24 PM »

State Representative -- 77th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
8 of 31 precincts reporting - 26%
absentee reporting - 100%
1034 Lisa Condrey Ward (NOPTY)24%
1472 "Rob" Maness (REP)35%
573 Casey Revere (REP)14%
1155 Mark Wright (REP)27%
Total: 4234
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #549 on: October 14, 2017, 09:02:18 PM »

State Representative -- 58th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
22 of 47 precincts reporting - 47%
absentee reporting - 100%
936 Miguel D. Aubert (DEM)23%
2115 "Ken" Brass (DEM)52% WILL FINISH FIRST
259 Adrienne Ricard Conish (DEM)6%
727 Alsie Dunbar (DEM)18%
Total: 4037

State Representative -- 77th Representative District
Voter Stats  Early Voting  Parish Results
15 of 31 precincts reporting - 48%
absentee reporting - 100%
1287 Lisa Condrey Ward (NOPTY)23%
1970 "Rob" Maness (REP)35%
782 Casey Revere (REP)14%
1529 Mark Wright (REP)27%
Total: 5568
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