What turnout would it take for a median ideology Democrat to win Tennessee?

[RaphaelDLG]

What turnout would it take for a median ideology Democrat to win Tennessee?

Someone who is strong with the same demographics that Democrats typically are, rather than a centrist democrat who is better with rural whites than usual (like maybe Bredesen or something).

70% turnout in Davidson and Shelby county?!?

[pops]

546%, all the dead people in Tennessee would need to vote

[100% pro-life no matter what]

There is no statewide path to victory for Democrats in Tennessee (barring a Moore-like situation), regardless of the political environment, the relative liberalism of their nominee, or the campaign ran.  Even if there had been the blue tsunami some predicted, Bredesen probably would have come up 5 points short.

[ON Progressive]

You could have a nominee more right wing than Joe Manchin and they’d still lose, and probably badly too.

There’s no path for a Democrat to win Tennessee. It’s basically Alabama but whiter.

[IceSpear]

There is no statewide path to victory for Democrats in Tennessee (barring a Moore-like situation), regardless of the political environment, the relative liberalism of their nominee, or the campaign ran.  Even if there had been the blue tsunami some predicted, Bredesen probably would have come up 5 points short.

[Adam Griffin]

Lower turnout than what we saw on Tuesday; basically, the kind of situation most people thought was unfolding prior to early voting (Democratic turnout approaching presidential levels w/o the same happening on the other side).

[Podgy the Bear]

Tennessee is finished for the Democrats for the foreseeable future.  It's the combination of the Old South, Appalachia, plus the always Republican base in east Tennessee.  For all the talk about Nashville and its changes, it's not as diverse as Atlanta or Dallas or Houston. 

[Politician]

Republican turnout being ridiculously low; basically what might have happened if Trump campaigned like Obama in 2010.

Or of course the TN GOP could go Brownback on the state.

[Badger]

A dead girl or a live boy

[TML]

While it may be true that Democrats will probably not win any statewide races in TN in the foreseeable future, there is potential for light at the end of the tunnel:

-Exit polls indicated that in both the Senatorial and Gubernatorial races, Democrats won among voters under 40.
-Compared to the 2016 presidential race, all counties in the Senatorial race shifted toward D in terms of vote percentage margin.

In a nutshell, I believe that if turnout among younger voters can be increased, the Democrats can at least reduce their losing margins in future statewide races, if not win them outright.

[lfromnj]

How would Bredesen have done in the governor race if he ran again?

There were definetely reports of some people saying they wanted an R senate but also liked Bredesen so they voted for Blackburn?
he would still probably lose but maybe by 8 or 7 points?

[lfromnj]

How would Bredesen have done in the governor race if he ran again?

There were definetely reports of some people saying they wanted an R senate but also liked Bredesen so they voted for Blackburn?
he would still probably lose but maybe by 8 or 7 points?