Ukraine 2014
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Author Topic: Ukraine 2014  (Read 14342 times)
ag
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« Reply #125 on: May 26, 2014, 08:08:07 AM »
« edited: May 26, 2014, 01:21:05 PM by ag »

Progress report on Donetsk and Luhansk. No new districts reporting since I went to bed, though more precincts in some of those. So far we have partial reports from only five districts in Donetsk (update: many more precincts but same districts):

District 49 Dobropilla (77/109 precincts reporting)
District 58 Mariupol (86/116 precincts reporting)
District 59 Mariupol (81/100 precincts reporting - Akhmetov effect)
District 61 Volnovakha (96/123 precincts reporting - actually, one of the worst recent losses by Ukrainian military was here: but, at least, it is evidence the military IS there)
District 62 Starobesheve (76/140 precincts reporting - this one is very rural by Donetsk standards, I believe)

In Luhansk there are reports from only two districts

District 114 Bilovodsk (98/197 precincts reporting)
District 115 Svatove (179/200 precincts reporting)

Overall, so far there are 135,656 votes from the two provinces together. Not much.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #126 on: May 27, 2014, 05:11:48 AM »

The Ukrainian newspaper "Pravda" has up-to-date results and clickable maps:

http://www.pravda.com.ua/articles/2014/05/26/7026766
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ag
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« Reply #127 on: May 27, 2014, 05:29:16 PM »

There are many better maps I should link - I will try to find them.

The most up to date results are on the CVK webpage. They have already counted 98.66 of the installed precincts.  The biggest delay is in the two districts in Donetsk (Krasnoarmiysk and Oleksandrivka), where the district commissions apparently had to be evacuated to Dnipropetrovsk, together with the ballot boxes, to ensure lack of interference in the tallying process. As of this moment they have only counted around a third of the precincts in Krasnoarmiysk and have not even started Oleksandrivka - I guess, they will report on it after Krasnoarmiysk. Anyways, the number of votes there is pretty trivial and will not affect anything.

To sum up, including these 2 districts, it seems only 7 districts in Donetsk and 2 districts in Luhansk had any precincts installed. Everywhere else the election simply did not happen. So far, just over 150 thousand votes have been tallied from both provinces together (just around 100 thousand in Donetsk and just under 53 thousand in Luhansk). This compares with around 4.7 mln. votes between the two in the first round of the 2010 election.
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ag
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« Reply #128 on: May 28, 2014, 12:26:30 PM »
« Edited: May 29, 2014, 09:43:20 AM by ag »

Results are, essentially, final (they are still waiting to certify those from one of the precincts in Kyiv - and I am not 100% certain about Donetsk - but whatever adjustments that might happen will be extremely minor).

Update: There has arrived a batch of votes from another Donetsk district, but that is now final. Updated

Total turnout 18,019,456 votes

Poroshenko 54.70%
Timoshenko 12.81%
Lyashko 8.32%
Hrytsenko 5.48%
Tyhipko 5.23%
Dobkin 3.03%
Rabinovych 2.25%
Bohomolets 1.91%
Symonenko 1.51%
Tyahnybok 1.16%
Yarosh 0.70%
Hrynenko 0.40%
Konovalyuk 0.38%
Boyko 0.19%
Malomuzh 0.13%
Kuzmin 0.10%
Kuybida 0.06%
Klymenko 0.05%
Tsushko 0.05%
Saranov 0.03%
Shkiryak 0.02%
Invalid ballots 1.35%
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ag
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« Reply #129 on: May 28, 2014, 12:59:14 PM »
« Edited: May 29, 2014, 09:38:43 AM by ag »

This seems to be the final turnout in Donetsk and Luhansk. Essentially, elections did not happen there, but in a few places some officials managed to hold the vote (plus, of course, there is Mariupol, where oligarch Akhmetov made it happen). The head of Starobesheve electoral commission was greeted with applause when she arrived to Kyiv bringing the originals of the result protocols. She said, they were ordered by the DNR people not to hold the vote, and that to get to Kyiv they, basically, got themselves smuggled through the woods. When asked if she was scared, she responded "VERY scared" (interestingly enough, that "VERY" was the only properly Ukrainian word she used - she spoke pretty much Russian, though phonetically and grammatically it is a clearly transitional variety; in that rural area their local dialect is transitional, though, of course, speaking to the journalists she switched to the one literary standard she is comfortable in).

UPDATE: At the last moment there arrived results from District 60 (Marinka). Not much, but something, at least. I think these are now final, so I update.

Anyways, here it is (with candidates who got at least 5% of the local vote).

District 47, Oleksandrivka (19 precincts reporting). Total turnout 4,807 votes
Poroshenko 31.14%
Tihipko 20.57%
Dobkin 7.94%
Timoshenko 7.42%
Rabinovich 6.69%
Simonenko 5.32%

District 49 Dobropilla (77 precincts reporting), 19,409 votes
Poroshenko 33.43%
Tihipko 21.57%
Timoshenko 8.01%
Dobkin 7.91%
Rabinovich 5.09%

District 50, Krasnoarmiysk (55 precincts reporting)  12,166 votes
Poroshenko 35.89%
Tihipko 16.94%
Timoshenko 11.23%
Dobkin 8.44%

District 58 Mariupol (112 precincts reporting) 22,369 votes
Poroshenko 34.68%
Tihipko 19.82%
Dobkin 7.13%
Rabinovich 6.67%
Timoshenko 5.81%

District 59 Mariupol (91 precincts reporting), 24,705 votes
Poroshenko 41.30%
Tihipko 19.26%
Rabinovich 6.11%
Dobkin 5.65%
Timoshenko 5.19%

District 60, Marinka (64 precincts reporting) 6,768 votes - UPDATE
Poroshenko 41.16%
Tihipko 15.02%
Timoshenko 14.39%
Hritsenko 5.48%

District 61 Volnovakha (101 precincts reporting) 17,685 votes
Poroshenko 32.15%
Tihipko 20.48%
Timoshenko 8.23%
Rabinovich 6.24%
Dobkin 6.02%
Simonenko 5.12%

District 62 Starobesheve (82 precincts reporting) 7,914 votes
Poroshenko 36.47%
Tihipko 20.55%
Timoshenko 8.07%
Dobkin 7.77%

And, in Luhansk, only two northern rural districts managed to do any polling.

District 114 Bilovodsk (98 precincts reporting) 16,012 votes
Poroshenko 30.29%
Tihipko 17.42%
Timoshenko 8.78%
Dobkin 7.00%
Simonenko 6.66%
Hritsenko 5.41%
Lyashko 5.01%

District 115 Svatove (186 precincts reporting), 36,227 votes
Poroshenko 34.44%
Tihipko 15.00%
Dobkin 8.47%
Timoshenko 7.32%
Lyashko 6.68%
Rabinovich 6.30%

UPDATE Overall, there 115,823+52,239=168,052 votes from the two provinces together. But, once again, the major parts of these provinces (including both capitals and a number of large cities) had no voting whatsoever. And even in the 10 districts that voted many (in some, most) of the precincts never opened.
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