AZ, CO, GA, MI, NC, SC, TX - Morning Consult: Democrats and Perdue, Graham, Cornyn lead (user search)
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  AZ, CO, GA, MI, NC, SC, TX - Morning Consult: Democrats and Perdue, Graham, Cornyn lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ, CO, GA, MI, NC, SC, TX - Morning Consult: Democrats and Perdue, Graham, Cornyn lead  (Read 566 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: October 13, 2020, 06:29:27 AM »
« edited: October 13, 2020, 07:21:42 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/senate-graham-harrison-supreme-court-polling/

First poll: September 8-17
Second poll: October 2-11

Each poll is of at least 699 likely voters with MoE per poll ranging from 2% to 4%.

AZ
Changes with September 5-14

Kelly 48% (-2)
McSally 41% (+3)

1144 likely voters
MoE: 2.9%

Kelly 49% (+1)
McSally 41% (n/c)

CO
Changes with August 21-30 poll

Hickenlooper 46% (-2)
Gardner 44% (+5)

837 likely voters
MoE: 3.4%

Hickenlooper 50% (+4)
Gardner 40% (-4)

GA
Changes with July 17-26 poll

Perdue 43% (-2)
Ossoff 43% (+1)

1837 likely voters
MoE: 2.3%

Perdue 46% (+3)
Ossoff 42% (-1)

MI
Changes with July 17-26 poll

Peters 48% (-1)
James 40% (+5)

1710 likely voters
MoE: 2.4%

Peters 49% (+1)
James 40% (n/c)

NC
Changes with August 14-23 poll

Cunningham 46% (-1)
Tillis 39% (n/c)

1993 likely voters
MoE: 2.2%

Cunningham 47% (+1)
Tillis 41% (+2)

SC
Changes with September 2-11 poll

Harrison 46% (+1)
Graham 45% (-1)

903 likely voters
MoE: 3%

Graham 48% (+3)
Harrison 42% (-4)

TX
Changes with July 24 - August 2 poll

Cornyn 45% (+1)
Hegar 38% (n/c)
Undecided 12%

3455 likely voters
MoE: 1.7%

Cornyn 47% (+2)
Hegar 38% (n/c)

Edit: added sample sizes/MoEs.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 06:53:49 AM »

Sample sizes here: https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/#section-11
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 07:22:05 AM »

They have released months' worth of tracking polls for TXSEN and TXPRES here: https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/texas-senate-polling-john-cornyn-mj-hegar/
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 08:33:28 AM »
« Edited: October 13, 2020, 11:41:22 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

538 has the sample sizes for the August 29 - September 7 polls at 699 in each state

Edit: they've corrected that with different sample sizes for likely voters

AZ 900
CO 599
GA 1402
MI 1451
NC 1664
SC 782
TX 2555
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