PA-01 - GSG (D): Fitzpatrick +2
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Author Topic: PA-01 - GSG (D): Fitzpatrick +2  (Read 390 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 07, 2020, 07:51:56 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2020, 09:50:29 AM »
No prez toplines (prob bc Biden is severely outrunning her), but it added that the Trump fav is 40/57 which is just horrific in a Clinton +1 district. If Biden wins big enough, he'll drag her across the finish line. Her $925K haul gives me more hope that she may be able to squeak out a win.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2020, 09:55:01 AM »
Quote from: VARepublican on October 07, 2020, 07:51:56 AM


This race appears to be Lean R. Fitzpatrick continues to have crossover appeal in his district; if even a Democratic internal shows him ahead, then he's probably favored at this point.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 05:04:12 AM »
Fitzpatrick (R) 47
Finello (D) 45

Biden is +15.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/13pZDCHY4MKZKOhsWwcRMNQiQPOMul0cR/view

If Biden wins by large enough, I think it will be big enough to drag Finello over the finish line.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 08:24:15 AM »
If Biden wins Bucks by double digits Trump is beyond finished in PA
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 08:45:18 AM »
This one's already been posted here
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 08:49:29 AM »

Where?
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 08:54:46 AM »

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=402157.0
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 08:55:00 AM »

Page 2 of this board, although that was just the topline from Kirk Bado.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 09:22:26 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 13, 2020, 05:04:12 AM
Fitzpatrick (R) 47
Finello (D) 45

Biden is +15.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/13pZDCHY4MKZKOhsWwcRMNQiQPOMul0cR/view

If Biden wins by large enough, I think it will be big enough to drag Finello over the finish line.

Fitzpatrick survived the double-digit wins of Wolf and Casey in his district back in 2018, so I don't find it hard to see him surviving a similar Biden win this year, especially since almost every poll we've seen from this district-including Democratic internals-show him ahead. At any rate, Democrats can still win this district, and I would rate it as Tossup/Lean R.
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