Camaro33
Jr. Member
Posts: 281
Political Matrix
E: 4.23, S: 0.17
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« on: May 05, 2016, 07:08:08 AM » |
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Trumps most feasible path:
-lower black turnout ( <=60%)
-Increase share of black vote (Romney was 6% - goal is 10%+)
-Maintain Romney college white numbers
-Increase noncollege white share by 3+% and increase their turnout noticeably
-Maintain other minority shares and turnout or improve them
This is feasible and believable, but unlikely to all happen simultaneously. If it all happens, Trump is looking at a narrow win.
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