Is tonight's big win for Mrs. Clinton really a surprise? (user search)
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  Is tonight's big win for Mrs. Clinton really a surprise? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is tonight's big win for Mrs. Clinton really a surprise?  (Read 887 times)
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,230
Uruguay


« on: February 27, 2016, 08:55:31 PM »
« edited: February 27, 2016, 08:57:46 PM by Sanders or Clinton will beat Trump. »

The recent polls showed her winning big, but not as big as she seems to have won by at this point.
As disappointing as it is, it is not a surprise.

edit: http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/clemson-university-palmetto-poll-democratic-primary-summary/
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,230
Uruguay


« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2016, 09:00:06 PM »

The recent polls showed her winning big, but not as big as she seems to have won by at this point.
As disappointing as it is, it is not a surprise.

edit: http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations/clemson-university-palmetto-poll-democratic-primary-summary/
This poll had Sanders winning only 14%. He did much better than that. So I guess he beat expectations, after all. Smiley
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,230
Uruguay


« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2016, 09:03:47 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=230413.0
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,230
Uruguay


« Reply #3 on: February 27, 2016, 09:17:18 PM »

He got destroyed beyond what was expected, and it shows just how weak he is with African Americans. This is a preview of how he will do when the state demographics get darker going forward.

Considering how he is funding his campaign, if he loses momentum and for one reason or another also loses fundraising momentum as well, he is in big trouble. He doesn't have big donors to fall back on.

Let's give Hillary credit where credit is due.
She won one primary and two caucuses and will probably win most states March 1. I'll give her credit for her wins, and likely wins March 1. If Sanders wins four or five states, possible if not likely, and closes the gaps in the states he loses, he is still in. With a little luck, he'll make it to at least March 15. Clinton has a definite edge at this point in time.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,230
Uruguay


« Reply #4 on: February 27, 2016, 09:26:54 PM »

Most people predicted around the 58-68% range for her, Not 70%+.
I admit I predicted Sanders would get 43.5%. I said at the time it was just a guess.
I said it could be lower. It was. 68% is higher than I would have ever predicted. She did a little better.
These things are very unpredictable as I've always said. She overperformed tonight. There is a possibility that she could underperform in the future. She could win the nomination and go on to beat Trump. That is not even certain. I'd give Trump 10%. I can't even say that I'll live to see who wins. Nothing is certain.
I expect to live to see the results. The point is that nothing in life is certain.
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